
Volume
$45K
Txns
835
Traders
195
Fees
$7
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 98%$8.89Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$4.08Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 99%$4.57Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$4.26Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 99%$3.99Mvolume
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
Yes 98%$136Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12d | 0xb45f...9761b2 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 12d | morilun | No / 0.1¢ | -1.00 | $0 | |
| 12d | 0x21f2...1dc016 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 12d | morilun | No / 0.1¢ | -1.00 | $0 | |
| 12d | morilun | No / 0.1¢ | -1.00 | $0 | |
| 12d | 0x17fc...eedaef | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 12d | morilun | No / 0.1¢ | -1.00 | $0 | |
| 12d | 0x7761...213d78 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 12d | morilun | No / 0.1¢ | -1.00 | $0 | |
| 12d | 0x8e0d...8b8c91 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 12d | 0xe452...9352ab | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 12d | morilun | No / 0.1¢ | -1.00 | $0 | |
| 12d | morilun | No / 0.1¢ | -0.24 | $0 | |
| 12d | Kyle6267 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -0.24 | $0.24 | |
| 12d | morilun | No / 0.1¢ | +1,615.65 | $1.62 | |
| 12d | Kyle6267 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -8.06 | $8.05 | |
| 12d | 2027tomoon | No / 0.1¢ | +191.29 | $0.19 | |
| 12d | Xaci | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,115.00 | $2.11K | |
| 12d | Frank2345 | No / 0.1¢ | +300.00 | $0.3 | |
| 12d | morilun | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 12d | Xaci | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 12d | morilun | No / 0.1¢ | -8.71 | $0.01 | |
| 12d | 2027tomoon | No / 0.1¢ | +8.71 | $0.01 | |
| 12d | Kyle6267 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +8.31 | $8.3 | |
| 12d | morilun | No / 0.1¢ | +8.31 | $0.01 |
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