
Volume
$618K
Txns
6,745
Traders
898
Fees
$21
Ends
May 15, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23d | 0x6de9...67a8e5 | No / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 23d | lordedward | No / 99.9¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 23d | 0x4c68...106162 | No / 99.9¢ | -1,018.71 | $1.02K | |
| 23d | lordedward | No / 99.9¢ | +1,018.71 | $1.02K | |
| 23d | labistiiia | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 23d | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +300.00 | $0.3 | |
| 23d | nikitaxce | Yes / 0.1¢ | +600.00 | $0.6 | |
| 23d | ouiouidescs | Yes / 0.1¢ | +600.00 | $0.6 | |
| 23d | policestici | Yes / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 23d | 0xA05C4259e96B0aE00FeAa737214bF8Bf4e8b6f9F-1731150808149 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6.00 | $0.01 | |
| 23d | readyplayer6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 23d | lordedward | No / 99.9¢ | +3,505.86 | $3.5K | |
| 23d | akunai | Yes / 0.3¢ | +100.00 | $0.3 | |
| 23d | lordedward | No / 99.7¢ | +818.70 | $816 | |
| 23d | Gr33d | No / 99.7¢ | -718.80 | $717 | |
| 23d | kiddddddd | Yes / 0.9¢ | -6.25 | $0.06 | |
| 23d | seisui | Yes / 0.9¢ | -3.75 | $0.03 | |
| 23d | FischerCore | No / 99.1¢ | -10.00 | $9.91 | |
| 23d | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | Yes / 1.2¢ | -300.00 | $3.6 | |
| 23d | BetterFish | No / 99.0¢ | +231.12 | $229 | |
| 23d | wwyy | No / 96.4¢ | +15.15 | $14.6 | |
| 23d | testoo7 | Yes / 1.1¢ | -89.00 | $0.98 | |
| 23d | cyberpunker | No / 97.0¢ | +100.00 | $97 | |
| 23d | Gr33d | No / 98.5¢ | +359.40 | $354 | |
| 23d | 101dalma | Yes / 1.9¢ | -8.98 | $0.17 |
1–25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 98%$8.53Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$3.93Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 99%$4.12Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 99%$4.43Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 99%$3.91Mvolume
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 65%$4.41Mvolume