
Volume
$36K
Txns
578
Traders
132
Fees
$95
Liquidity
$45,788
Ends
—
The Fed interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Fed decreases the upper bound of the target federal funds range as a result of the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No" The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve. The FOMC calendar may be viewed at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds range is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. If Kevin Warsh’s nomination for Chair of the Federal Reserve is formally withdrawn, or otherwise finally rejected, or if no qualifying meeting occurs by December 31, 2026 (ET), this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for the meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to "No".
Trades
1–25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 98%$7.77Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$3.35Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 99%$3.65Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 99%$3.63Mvolume
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes 70%$4.33Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 99%$4.16Mvolume