
Volume
$10K
Txns
184
Traders
62
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$2,236
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an earthquake with a magnitude of 6.5 or greater occurs within a 50-mile radius of Los Angeles, California (34.0522° N, 118.2437° W) between market creation and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Map (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map/?extent=32.54681,-121.05835&extent=35.63944,-114.90601). For the purposes of this market, The epicenter must fall within 50 miles of Los Angeles (34.0522° N, 118.2437° W), calculated as a straight-line distance from the epicenter to the reference point. If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14h | alexkrg | Yes / 7.0¢ | +10.00 | $0.7 | |
| 14h | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 7.0¢ | +20.00 | $1.4 | |
| 14h | leedongtek | Yes / 7.0¢ | -30.00 | $2.1 | |
| 1d | Oliver1978 | No / 87.0¢ | +30.00 | $26.1 | |
| 1d | leedongtek | Yes / 13.0¢ | +30.00 | $3.9 | |
| 2d | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 8.0¢ | +5.74 | $0.46 | |
| 2d | ZuRc5 | No / 92.0¢ | +5.74 | $5.28 | |
| 2d | ZuRc5 | Yes / 14.1¢ | +42.45 | $6 | |
| 2d | AJSV | No / 85.0¢ | +5.79 | $4.92 | |
| 2d | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 14.0¢ | -28.00 | $3.92 | |
| 2d | AJSV | No / 87.0¢ | +5.79 | $5.04 | |
| 2d | 0xf528...127e5b | No / 84.0¢ | +2.87 | $2.41 | |
| 2d | AJSV | Yes / 6.0¢ | +1.06 | $0.06 | |
| 2d | 0x20a9...355a67 | No / 94.0¢ | +1.06 | $1.01 | |
| 2d | TraderProMax | Yes / 5.0¢ | +2.33 | $0.12 | |
| 2d | ehb0llvlo5yt | No / 95.0¢ | +20.22 | $19.4 | |
| 2d | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 5.0¢ | +17.89 | $0.89 | |
| 2d | gopfan2 | No / 80.0¢ | +787.19 | $630 | |
| 2d | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 5.0¢ | +2.11 | $0.11 | |
| 2d | romanew-1-new | Yes / 13.0¢ | -12.21 | $1.59 | |
| 2d | bznb3lh6stsw | No / 95.0¢ | +2.11 | $2.02 | |
| 2d | plemic95 | Yes / 17.9¢ | +1,814.65 | $325 | |
| 2d | AJSV | No / 86.0¢ | +23.25 | $20 | |
| 2d | 0x8712 | No / 84.0¢ | +792.00 | $665 | |
| 2d | Oliver1978 | No / 82.0¢ | +200.00 | $164 |
1–25
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
Yes 54%$15.9Kvolume
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
Yes 57%$483Kvolume
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
No 100%$11.3Kvolume
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
No 100%$11.3Kvolume
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
No 99%$4.46Kvolume
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?
No 77%$11.5Kvolume