
Volume
$15K
Txns
634
Traders
147
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a solar radiation storm with a severity level of 3 or greater occurs between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An S3 event is a solar radiation storm with a "Strong" classification. More information on the space weather classification criteria can be found here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation This market will resolve immediately upon the occurrence of a qualifying event. Any later revisions or corrections will not be considered. This market will resolve based on information from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Space Weather Prediction Center under the heading marked "Current Space Weather Conditions". (https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/alerts-watches-and-warnings#) If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
1–25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
No 99%$4.82Mvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 86%$37.4Mvolume
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?
Yes 100%$49.7Kvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 94%$1.36Mvolume
New pandemic in 2026?
No 91%$652Kvolume
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?
No 100%$57.4Kvolume