
Volume
$330K
Txns
5,023
Traders
930
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Moltbook shuts down by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, a shutdown means Moltbook ceases operations such that its primary website is no longer publicly accessible and the platform is discontinued. An official announcement that Moltbook is closing, winding down, or discontinuing the service will qualify regardless of when the shutdown is fully implemented. Temporary outages, maintenance, cyberattacks, domain or hosting issues, paywalls, limited functionality, invite-only transitions, ownership changes, restructurings, bankruptcies, acquisitions, or migrations to a new domain will not qualify so long as the core platform remains operational in any publicly accessible form. The primary resolution source will be official statements from Moltbook; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Yes 100%$1.21Mvolume
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?
Yes 100%$782Kvolume
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Yes 100%$1.24Mvolume
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Yes 100%$808Kvolume
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Yes 100%$812Kvolume
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Yes 100%$351Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | yiweizhihuishuohuadema | No / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 3mo | zhongjiaoteman | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 3mo | gggoole | No / 99.9¢ | -341.36 | $341 | |
| 3mo | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | -30.00 | $0.03 | |
| 3mo | huaxingsimiao | No / 99.9¢ | +56.36 | $56.3 | |
| 3mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | -200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 3mo | fx4j4pelpvdb | No / 99.4¢ | -10.10 | $10 | |
| 3mo | JeromePuwell | Yes / 0.6¢ | -10.10 | $0.06 | |
| 3mo | JeromePuwell | Yes / 0.1¢ | +329.70 | $0.33 | |
| 3mo | lostinleningrad | No / 99.9¢ | +329.70 | $329 | |
| 3mo | rocketcrypto | Yes / 1.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.05 | |
| 3mo | Perypery | Yes / 1.0¢ | -5.00 | $0.05 | |
| 3mo | JeromePuwell | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.05 | $0.05 | |
| 3mo | HrvDaBot | No / 99.9¢ | +50.05 | $50 | |
| 3mo | cambridgeisaac | No / 98.8¢ | -318.95 | $315 | |
| 3mo | yuceice | No / 99.3¢ | +20.00 | $19.9 | |
| 3mo | JeromePuwell | Yes / 1.9¢ | -22.50 | $0.43 | |
| 3mo | JeromePuwell | Yes / 0.6¢ | -30.00 | $0.18 | |
| 3mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | -91.63 | $0.09 | |
| 3mo | merz1305 | Yes / 2.0¢ | -76.75 | $1.53 | |
| 3mo | JeromePuwell | Yes / 1.9¢ | -33.07 | $0.63 | |
| 3mo | JeromePuwell | Yes / 1.9¢ | -45.00 | $0.85 | |
| 3mo | Gaujmalietis | No / 99.9¢ | -400.00 | $400 | |
| 3mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | -400.00 | $0.4 | |
| 3mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | -500.00 | $0.5 |
1–25