
Volume
$179K
Txns
2,877
Traders
566
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if active military personnel officially affiliated with any NATO or EU country enter Ukraine for combat-related military purposes directly pertaining to the ongoing conflict with Russia by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For military personnel to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, they must be 1) officially acknowledged as active military by the NATO or EU entity or member state they are affiliated with; 2) be publicly acknowledged by NATO or an EU-affiliated entity to have entered Ukraine for a combat-related military purpose directly pertaining to the ongoing conflict with Russia. For military personnel to qualify toward a "Yes" resolution they need be active duty and acknowledged as described above. Participation in a combat role is necessary for this market to resolve to "Yes" (e.g. military personnel providing training or intelligence support would not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution, however drone pilots or infantry directly attacking Russian troops, or soldiers targeting and downing missiles from Ukrainian soil would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | GollumGekko | No / 99.9¢ | -222.22 | $222 | |
| 4mo | bobe2 | No / 99.9¢ | +1,994.13 | $1.99K | |
| 4mo | Polfirefly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +31.19 | $0.03 | |
| 4mo | power1337 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.37 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | 8.... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +25.23 | $0.05 | |
| 4mo | AsuraSmellsLikeASS | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +63.00 | $0.06 | |
| 4mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +83.00 | $0.08 | |
| 4mo | power1337 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.54 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | 0xe8d0E6f73B49Ef07078562dB4b12974EEf365542-1722338495689 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | Avvnnnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +39.45 | $0.04 | |
| 4mo | Yukaii | Yes / 0.1¢ | +56.18 | $0.06 | |
| 4mo | Pestle | Yes / 0.1¢ | +50.71 | $0.05 | |
| 4mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 4mo | power1337 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.35 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | power1337 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +9.13 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | Kanp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +44.76 | $0.04 | |
| 4mo | Shipoo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +48.86 | $0.05 | |
| 4mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +90.00 | $0.09 | |
| 4mo | power1337 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.32 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | 0xe8d0E6f73B49Ef07078562dB4b12974EEf365542-1722338495689 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | Oddn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +36.85 | $0.04 | |
| 4mo | Cronnozzz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +30.69 | $0.03 | |
| 4mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +36.00 | $0.04 | |
| 4mo | power1337 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.89 | $0.01 |
1–25
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?
No 98%$372Kvolume
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
No 98%$96.7Kvolume
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
No 82%$20.6Kvolume
ECB rate cut in 2026?
No 86%$28.5Kvolume
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.3% and 1.5%?
No 60%$1.21Kvolume
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.6% and 1.8%?
No 98%$758volume