Natural Disaster in 2026?
ActiveVolume
$202K
Txns
4,903
Traders
1,118
Fees
$39
Liquidity
$1,916
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Volume
$202K
Txns
4,903
Traders
1,118
Fees
$39
Liquidity
$1,916
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET: - A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US - A major meteor strikes (10kt+) - A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6) - An 8.5+ earthquake occurs Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h | 0x6A6Dca6B0B748545557836f40721f449A0367361-1778832300856 | Yes / 28.0¢ | +27.77 | $8.06 | |
| 3h | AJSV | No / 72.0¢ | +27.77 | $20 | |
| 12h | Xanadugg | Yes / 29.0¢ | +10.34 | $3.11 | |
| 12h | AJSV | No / 71.0¢ | +10.34 | $7.34 | |
| 1d | l1nkus | Yes / 27.0¢ | -5.00 | $1.35 | |
| 1d | 0xA3A283b8309cB86a679676AF6D3EB8e6AEAEb67e-1777675132235 | Yes / 28.0¢ | +17.87 | $5.18 | |
| 1d | 0x99bc...784f35 | Yes / 26.0¢ | -9.06 | $2.36 | |
| 1d | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 34.0¢ | -3.81 | $1.29 | |
| 1d | 0x99bc...784f35 | Yes / 26.0¢ | -19.23 | $5 | |
| 1d | 0x3a0197A7dB6b28E1CefA05Ae4CA47F6aB6A9512f-1779206506156 | Yes / 26.0¢ | +19.23 | $5.18 | |
| 1d | nike951 | Yes / 28.0¢ | +7.14 | $2.07 | |
| 1d | 0x99bc...784f35 | Yes / 28.0¢ | -7.14 | $2 | |
| 1d | cobak-oracle | Yes / 30.0¢ | +3.33 | $1.03 | |
| 1d | 0x99bc...784f35 | Yes / 30.0¢ | -3.33 | $1 | |
| 1d | 0xc166014Fbba185d424b2AA44de842a79DE31fbc7-1779144301827 | Yes / 38.0¢ | +5.21 | $2.04 | |
| 1d | 0x99bc...784f35 | Yes / 38.0¢ | -5.21 | $1.98 | |
| 1d | HelloWorld2024 | Yes / 33.9¢ | -5.00 | $1.69 | |
| 1d | l1nkus | Yes / 35.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.75 | |
| 1d | 0xEDf9DeDE507d78091Bc650c5C56C0fc130a643ab-1777031393094 | Yes / 39.0¢ | +7.69 | $3.09 | |
| 1d | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 39.0¢ | -7.69 | $3 | |
| 2d | 0x99bc...784f35 | Yes / 25.0¢ | +37.06 | $9.27 | |
| 2d | 0x99bc...784f35 | Yes / 30.0¢ | +7.00 | $2.1 | |
| 2d | Cemini23 | Yes / 26.2¢ | -58.19 | $15.2 | |
| 2d | 0x6A6Dca6B0B748545557836f40721f449A0367361-1778832300856 | Yes / 34.0¢ | +7.13 | $2.42 | |
| 2d | 0xf528...127e5b | No / 71.0¢ | -7.00 | $4.97 |
1–25
