
Volume
$987K
Txns
6,172
Traders
1,019
Fees
$0
Ends
Jul 30, 2025
"This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP 'Advance Estimate' for Q2 2025, scheduled for release by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) on July 30, 2025, reports a growth rate below 0. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product. Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' will be used for resolution. Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered."
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$20Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 85%$19Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.2Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$6.6Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$10.7Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 98%$6.95Mvolume
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