
Volume
$112K
Txns
2,604
Traders
271
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$2,170
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h | Razirback | Yes / 29.0¢ | +20.00 | $5.8 | |
| 3h | Haradwaith | No / 83.0¢ | -0.96 | $0.8 | |
| 3h | DrRhinehart | No / 71.6¢ | +20.96 | $15 | |
| 4h | Gaujmalietis | No / 67.0¢ | +40.00 | $26.8 | |
| 4h | Razirback | Yes / 33.0¢ | +40.00 | $13.2 | |
| 5h | Razirback | Yes / 34.0¢ | -2.04 | $0.69 | |
| 5h | VonSchanz | No / 66.0¢ | -2.04 | $1.35 | |
| 9h | Razirback | Yes / 33.0¢ | +7.46 | $2.46 | |
| 9h | Theodorefox | No / 67.0¢ | +7.46 | $5 | |
| 11h | RinatMaSterS | Yes / 34.0¢ | -17.64 | $6 | |
| 11h | Razirback | Yes / 34.0¢ | +17.64 | $6 | |
| 11h | 0x5Ff7455790cd4a08ce14eB5887E6B12279e0F7F0-1775029761019 | No / 63.5¢ | +43.74 | $27.8 | |
| 11h | 535 | No / 64.0¢ | -11.03 | $7.06 | |
| 11h | norbika | Yes / 35.0¢ | +5.71 | $2 | |
| 11h | Razirback | Yes / 37.0¢ | +27.00 | $9.99 | |
| 20h | 535 | No / 67.0¢ | -3.00 | $2.01 | |
| 20h | 0x31e4f0E7D2f182c225125A9D79c5F31D84997785-1777812367898 | Yes / 33.0¢ | -3.00 | $0.99 | |
| 20h | ssssss1223 | Yes / 30.0¢ | -1.00 | $0.3 | |
| 20h | ssssss1223 | Yes / 44.0¢ | -6.74 | $2.97 | |
| 20h | 535 | No / 57.0¢ | +14.03 | $8 | |
| 20h | 535 | Yes / 30.0¢ | +1.00 | $0.3 | |
| 20h | shoelace1 | Yes / 43.3¢ | +20.77 | $9 | |
| 21h | 0x31e4f0E7D2f182c225125A9D79c5F31D84997785-1777812367898 | Yes / 36.0¢ | +3.00 | $1.08 | |
| 21h | 0x35df...adcf97 | Yes / 36.0¢ | -3.00 | $1.08 | |
| 22h | corsur4 | No / 59.0¢ | -91.53 | $54 |
1–25
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
No 55%$234Kvolume
New pandemic in 2026?
No 89%$441Kvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T
No 83%$595Kvolume
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Yes 99%$286Kvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Yes 72%$300Kvolume
Will Citigroup or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
No 100%$234Kvolume