
Volume
$547K
Txns
3,073
Traders
541
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'US government shutdown Saturday?' market (https://polymarket.com/event/will-there-be-another-us-government-shutdown-by-january-31) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during the 1-hour period between 12:00 AM and 12:59 AM ET on January 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'US government shutdown Saturday?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/odds-of-gov-shutdown-over-90-on-friday-night or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at the relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | 0x4e96...7de9f8 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -4.00 | $4 | |
| 4mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +4.00 | $4 | |
| 4mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +4,000.00 | $4K | |
| 4mo | 0xa9C44e184123B440e63367d141e84f88ad665473-1769838544726 | No / 0.1¢ | +4,000.00 | $4 | |
| 4mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,241.20 | $1.24K | |
| 4mo | Dbzz44 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,241.20 | $1.24K | |
| 4mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +7,423.27 | $7.42K | |
| 4mo | 0x4174bf02b536C1351447C5566d8d79cAca4ef38a-1769145173429 | No / 0.1¢ | +20,000.00 | $20 | |
| 4mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +9,999.00 | $9.99K | |
| 4mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,577.73 | $2.58K | |
| 4mo | Derevensky | No / 0.1¢ | +10,000.00 | $10 | |
| 4mo | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,576.73 | $2.57K | |
| 4mo | 1BeaNataTime | Yes / 99.9¢ | +7,423.27 | $7.42K | |
| 4mo | 0xcD2F0D63E3b496F3E02DE41a40031202CD3A95c8-1769843581116 | No / 0.1¢ | +2,000.00 | $2 | |
| 4mo | 1BeaNataTime | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,000.00 | $2K | |
| 4mo | 1BeaNataTime | Yes / 99.9¢ | +143.86 | $144 | |
| 4mo | HACKERRICHER | Yes / 99.9¢ | -7.94 | $7.93 | |
| 4mo | shjkl | Yes / 99.9¢ | -135.92 | $136 | |
| 4mo | Dr.mett | Yes / 99.9¢ | +7.99 | $7.98 | |
| 4mo | shjkl | Yes / 99.9¢ | -7.99 | $7.98 | |
| 4mo | mountaingreen | No / 0.2¢ | +12.45 | $0.02 | |
| 4mo | mountaingreen | No / 0.2¢ | +12.38 | $0.02 | |
| 4mo | 0xdc3E831cad | Yes / 99.8¢ | +24.83 | $24.8 | |
| 4mo | ElementalAltar | Yes / 99.8¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | mountaingreen | No / 0.2¢ | +1.00 | $0 |
1–25
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 54%$55Mvolume
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No 56%$40.5Mvolume
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
Yes 93%$65.2Kvolume
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
No 55%$79.6Kvolume
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
No 90%$80.6Kvolume
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%?
No 81%$9.34Kvolume