
Volume
$590K
Txns
8,224
Traders
968
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a social iOS app owned by OpenAI is available for installation on the US iOS app store by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pre-Order does not satisfy the market conditions. A "social app" refers to an iOS application whose primary function is facilitating social interaction between users, such as messaging, content sharing, or community engagement. The primary resolution source will be the US iOS app store, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Yes 100%$1.23Mvolume
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?
Yes 100%$797Kvolume
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Yes 100%$1.24Mvolume
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Yes 100%$811Kvolume
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Yes 100%$815Kvolume
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
Yes 100%$352Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8mo | justra3 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 8mo | duderr | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 8mo | wisser | Yes / 99.9¢ | +856.58 | $856 | |
| 8mo | duderr | Yes / 99.9¢ | +143.42 | $143 | |
| 8mo | Indigoat | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 8mo | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | No / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 8mo | BeN | No / 0.1¢ | +3,674.91 | $3.67 | |
| 8mo | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +26.66 | $0.03 | |
| 8mo | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +12.31 | $0.01 | |
| 8mo | wisser | Yes / 99.9¢ | +3,911.98 | $3.91K | |
| 8mo | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +103.33 | $0.1 | |
| 8mo | Evador | No / 0.2¢ | +6.15 | $0.01 | |
| 8mo | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +24.62 | $0.02 | |
| 8mo | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 8mo | Evador | No / 0.2¢ | +12.31 | $0.02 | |
| 8mo | prostoLUCK | Yes / 99.8¢ | -30.00 | $29.9 | |
| 8mo | IlliterateTrader | Yes / 99.9¢ | +875.04 | $874 | |
| 8mo | BeN | No / 0.1¢ | +832.73 | $0.83 | |
| 8mo | planktonXD | No / 1.5¢ | -56.23 | $0.84 | |
| 8mo | aureli | No / 1.0¢ | -54.00 | $0.54 | |
| 8mo | Ordon | Yes / 99.5¢ | +95.00 | $94.5 | |
| 8mo | Frenonski | No / 0.8¢ | -49.99 | $0.4 | |
| 8mo | rocky42008 | No / 1.0¢ | -252.00 | $2.52 | |
| 8mo | TheGreedyBadger | No / 0.9¢ | +531.84 | $5 | |
| 8mo | Evador | No / 0.9¢ | -24.62 | $0.22 |
1–25