
Volume
$121K
Txns
1,795
Traders
368
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's Sora model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sora must be launched and publicly accessible, which includes open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, for this market to resolve to "Yes". Closed beta or an otherwise private launch will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 91%$3.1Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 85%$1.79Mvolume
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
No 58%$740Kvolume
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530?
Yes 96%$58.4Kvolume
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
No 89%$943Kvolume
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
No 90%$84.4Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | Twizzler | No / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +49.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | Themis11 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -90.16 | $90.1 | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +173.40 | $0.17 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | Ordon | Yes / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | PolyDump | No / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Twizzler | No / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Niziolowski | Yes / 99.9¢ | -40.05 | $40 | |
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,112.52 | $2.11K | |
| 1y | theo5 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,485.91 | $1.48K | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +154.00 | $0.15 | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +145.71 | $0.15 | |
| 1y | Eroale | No / 0.1¢ | -145.71 | $0.15 | |
| 1y | Gazillionaire | Yes / 99.3¢ | -45.05 | $44.7 | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.7¢ | -45.05 | $0.32 | |
| 1y | Geromi | No / 0.6¢ | -20.00 | $0.12 | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.7¢ | -7.69 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.7¢ | -53.41 | $0.37 | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.7¢ | -64.61 | $0.45 | |
| 1y | Eroale | No / 0.7¢ | +145.71 | $1 | |
| 1y | ZwinkoPanamarenko | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.01 | $5 | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +5.01 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Infringe | Yes / 99.9¢ | +7,046.26 | $7.04K |
1–25