
Volume
$605K
Txns
8,281
Traders
1,118
Fees
$1
Ends
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
No 100%$20.4Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
No 94%$2.67Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 80%$26.9Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
No 94%$1.54Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
No 99%$24.8Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
No 83%$1.96Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19d | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +500.00 | $500 | |
| 19d | 0x6bDbBbf6b7A21c1bb1e83d5ba4c01ac1C4b64496-1771839100479 | No / 99.9¢ | -500.00 | $499 | |
| 19d | legamb | Yes / 0.3¢ | -5.19 | $0.02 | |
| 19d | 0x99cb...01b02c | No / 99.7¢ | -5.19 | $5.17 | |
| 19d | NonceChaser | No / 99.9¢ | -55.55 | $55.5 | |
| 19d | 0x53267206fDCf778ACc2BAb10bfb432F835332781-1774813918970 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -55.55 | $0.05 | |
| 20d | 0x0246F395e20326c358f0F53A00f9562D657D37A3-1775428091543 | No / 99.4¢ | -5.32 | $5.29 | |
| 20d | JeromePuwell | Yes / 0.6¢ | -5.32 | $0.03 | |
| 20d | labistiiia | Yes / 0.2¢ | -7.23 | $0.01 | |
| 20d | 0xF3F36398445802034a90552fc61427D68BACB543-1776627321986 | No / 99.8¢ | -7.23 | $7.21 | |
| 20d | AntoineMpz | No / 99.8¢ | -217.00 | $217 | |
| 20d | labistiiia | Yes / 0.2¢ | -217.00 | $0.43 | |
| 20d | debased | No / 99.9¢ | -399.99 | $400 | |
| 20d | feliepc | Yes / 0.1¢ | -399.99 | $0.38 | |
| 20d | 0xF3F36398445802034a90552fc61427D68BACB543-1776627321986 | No / 99.9¢ | +2.74 | $2.74 | |
| 20d | debased | No / 99.9¢ | -2.74 | $2.74 | |
| 20d | debased | No / 99.9¢ | -4.49 | $4.49 | |
| 20d | 0xF3F36398445802034a90552fc61427D68BACB543-1776627321986 | No / 99.9¢ | +4.49 | $4.49 | |
| 20d | JeromePuwell | Yes / 0.7¢ | -3.43 | $0.02 | |
| 20d | 0xe152...5b586d | No / 99.3¢ | -3.43 | $3.41 | |
| 20d | debased | No / 99.9¢ | -719.84 | $719 | |
| 20d | forinnerpsandr1x11222 | No / 99.9¢ | +719.84 | $719 | |
| 20d | Milktoast | No / 99.9¢ | -300.00 | $300 | |
| 20d | forinnerpsandr1x11222 | No / 99.9¢ | +300.00 | $300 | |
| 20d | forinnerpsandr1x11222 | No / 99.9¢ | +975.00 | $974 |
1–25