
Volume
$121K
Txns
2,124
Traders
329
Fees
$318
Liquidity
$32,847
Ends
Nov 3, 2026
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if, as a result of the midterm elections, the Republican Party controls the U.S. presidency, controls the U.S. House of Representatives, and holds at least 60 seats in the U.S. Senate. This market will resolve based on the results of all Congress elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources. A party will be considered to have 'control' of the House of Representatives if it wins a majority of voting seats. If control of the House is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Speaker of the US House who is selected following the 2026 United States midterm elections. A candidate's party is determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time the 2026 United States midterm elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican Parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they most recently expressed their intent to caucus with at the time the 2026 United States midterm elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15m | ultralisk | No / 92.9¢ | -20.00 | $18.6 | |
| 15m | DrNee | No / 93.2¢ | +20.00 | $18.6 | |
| 2h | Elias.Thornwell | No / 93.3¢ | +21.99 | $20.6 | |
| 2h | ImHereForTheRewards | No / 93.3¢ | -21.99 | $20.5 | |
| 2h | ultralisk | No / 92.9¢ | -47.00 | $43.7 | |
| 2h | DrNee | No / 93.2¢ | +20.00 | $18.6 | |
| 2h | 0x238f...983015 | Yes / 6.8¢ | -27.00 | $1.84 | |
| 4h | DrNee | No / 93.0¢ | +20.00 | $18.6 | |
| 4h | ultralisk | No / 92.7¢ | -20.00 | $18.5 | |
| 5h | ultralisk | No / 92.7¢ | -20.00 | $18.5 | |
| 5h | DrNee | No / 93.0¢ | +20.00 | $18.6 | |
| 7h | DrNee | No / 93.3¢ | +20.00 | $18.7 | |
| 7h | 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495 | Yes / 6.7¢ | +20.00 | $1.39 | |
| 7h | DrNee | No / 93.7¢ | +9.25 | $8.67 | |
| 7h | 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495 | Yes / 6.3¢ | +9.25 | $0.6 | |
| 8h | DrNee | No / 93.7¢ | +10.75 | $10.1 | |
| 8h | 0x88374Ba82BeA8D5F8B76b9e4e03e14d734dF07D7-1778654695844 | No / 93.5¢ | -10.75 | $10 | |
| 9h | ultralisk | No / 93.4¢ | -20.00 | $18.7 | |
| 9h | DrNee | No / 93.6¢ | +20.00 | $18.7 | |
| 10h | Xdxd123 | Yes / 6.5¢ | -287.48 | $18.8 | |
| 10h | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 6.8¢ | +133.00 | $9.04 | |
| 10h | 0x6b0e...46e3ea | Yes / 6.8¢ | +29.00 | $1.97 | |
| 10h | 0x238f...983015 | Yes / 6.9¢ | +27.00 | $1.86 | |
| 10h | ImHereForTheRewards | No / 93.3¢ | -98.48 | $91.9 | |
| 10h | quick-turtle | No / 92.2¢ | +249.00 | $230 |
1–25
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No 51%$1.31Mvolume
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?
Yes 90%$78.3Kvolume
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
No 99%$361Kvolume
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
No 72%$97Kvolume
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 53%$1.16Mvolume
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?
Yes 92%$15.4Kvolume