Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
ActiveVolume
$501K
Txns
6,207
Traders
999
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$27,200
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Volume
$501K
Txns
6,207
Traders
999
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$27,200
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Ukraine agrees not to join NATO - Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
Trades
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
No 95%$2.65Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 80%$26.9Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
No 95%$1.51Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
No 99%$24.8Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
No 83%$1.95Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No 94%$17.5Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27m | Account13337 | Yes / 16.0¢ | -1.00 | $0.16 | |
| 27m | n3v3rmor | No / 84.0¢ | -1.00 | $0.84 | |
| 7h | skyloline | No / 83.0¢ | -2.50 | $2.08 | |
| 7h | 12321 | No / 83.0¢ | +2.50 | $2.08 | |
| 7h | PPMT | No / 83.0¢ | -4.39 | $3.64 | |
| 7h | 12321 | No / 83.0¢ | +4.39 | $3.64 | |
| 9h | ViktorAxelsen | No / 82.0¢ | +0.38 | $0.31 | |
| 9h | 0x8c76...46745f | No / 82.0¢ | -0.38 | $0.31 | |
| 9h | PPMT | No / 83.0¢ | -1.20 | $1 | |
| 9h | 0x02f7...e9dd8f | No / 83.0¢ | +1.20 | $1 | |
| 12h | 0x65cc6f5334A96795391BFF1279cFd77a1b9aC949-1765509437952 | No / 81.0¢ | -26.31 | $21.3 | |
| 12h | Trading4Fridge | No / 81.0¢ | +26.31 | $21.3 | |
| 13h | Andrent | Yes / 18.0¢ | -1.60 | $0.29 | |
| 13h | PPMT | No / 82.0¢ | -1.60 | $1.31 | |
| 13h | PPMT | No / 82.0¢ | -7.80 | $6.4 | |
| 13h | Andrent | Yes / 18.0¢ | -7.80 | $1.4 | |
| 13h | PPMT | No / 82.0¢ | -7.80 | $6.4 | |
| 13h | Andrent | Yes / 18.0¢ | -7.80 | $1.4 | |
| 13h | Andrent | Yes / 18.0¢ | -7.80 | $1.4 | |
| 13h | PPMT | No / 82.0¢ | -7.80 | $6.4 | |
| 1d | PPMT | No / 82.0¢ | +6.00 | $4.92 | |
| 1d | Account13337 | Yes / 18.0¢ | +6.00 | $1.08 | |
| 1d | BullishBalzac | Yes / 17.0¢ | -20.00 | $3.4 | |
| 1d | PPMT | No / 83.0¢ | -20.00 | $16.6 | |
| 1d | PPMT | No / 82.0¢ | +44.44 | $36.4 |
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