
Volume
$82K
Txns
506
Traders
179
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$22,783
Ends
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia officially announces that U.S. military aircraft are not permitted to use its airspace or land in its territory, or announces that U.S. military aircraft are not allowed to use certain military bases within Saudi Arabia, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A restriction applying only to a subset of U.S. military aircraft, such as only aircraft involved in a specified U.S. military operation, will qualify. A qualifying restriction must be a standing policy; isolated instances of access denial will not count. A consensus of credible reporting that Saudi Arabia has implemented a qualifying restriction on U.S. military aircraft will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saudi Arabia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9m | 4rfvpm101qaz | No / 97.9¢ | +5.00 | $4.89 | |
| 9m | Shekel | Yes / 2.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.1 | |
| 7h | Idapro555 | No / 98.0¢ | +10.20 | $10 | |
| 7h | IvoM8 | Yes / 2.0¢ | +10.20 | $0.2 | |
| 7h | 0x2c02...21293e | No / 96.9¢ | -2.06 | $2 | |
| 7h | 4rfvpm101qaz | No / 97.9¢ | +2.06 | $2.02 | |
| 8h | 4rfvpm101qaz | No / 97.9¢ | +47.62 | $46.6 | |
| 8h | Firewell | Yes / 2.1¢ | +47.62 | $1 | |
| 10h | ireescc277 | Yes / 2.0¢ | -20.00 | $0.4 | |
| 10h | IvoM8 | Yes / 2.0¢ | +20.00 | $0.4 | |
| 15h | gellet | No / 97.9¢ | -15.00 | $14.7 | |
| 15h | Dafu0715 | No / 97.9¢ | +59.00 | $57.8 | |
| 15h | pm777777 | No / 97.9¢ | -44.00 | $43.1 | |
| 15h | kiddddddd | Yes / 2.3¢ | -35.47 | $0.82 | |
| 15h | gellet | No / 97.7¢ | +15.00 | $14.7 | |
| 15h | rocky42003 | Yes / 2.4¢ | -49.53 | $1.19 | |
| 15h | BSS37 | Yes / 2.3¢ | +100.00 | $2.35 | |
| 15h | pm777777 | No / 97.6¢ | +44.00 | $42.9 | |
| 15h | Biver52 | Yes / 2.4¢ | +100.00 | $2.4 | |
| 15h | rocky42003 | Yes / 2.4¢ | -56.00 | $1.34 | |
| 15h | D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935 | No / 97.6¢ | -402.00 | $392 | |
| 15h | BSS37 | Yes / 2.4¢ | +100.00 | $2.4 | |
| 15h | 9999pm9999 | No / 98.0¢ | -200.00 | $196 | |
| 15h | bluetens27 | Yes / 2.0¢ | +91.15 | $1.82 | |
| 15h | njuz | No / 97.6¢ | -480.56 | $469 |
1–25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 79%$27.1Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
No 96%$2.73Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
No 94%$1.69Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
No 99%$24.8Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 59%$10.6Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
No 83%$2.01Mvolume