
Volume
$552
Txns
22
Traders
12
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 30, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fourth Starship-SuperHeavy test flight, successfully reaches an altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. This market pertains to the fourth Starship launch - if the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the fourth StarShip launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the fourth launch, and this market will stay open until the fourth launch has occurred - if the fourth launch has not occurred by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The outcome will be corroborated by examining SpaceX’s official video feed of the launch (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | ImJustKen | No / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | SusanWarrenHR | No / 0.1¢ | -20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | punishedgoon | No / 7.0¢ | +50.00 | $3.5 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 93.0¢ | +50.00 | $46.5 | |
| 1y | LBZcapital | Yes / 88.0¢ | +3.75 | $3.3 | |
| 1y | DeCrap | No / 12.0¢ | +3.75 | $0.45 | |
| 1y | RuruAndrew | Yes / 93.0¢ | +1.61 | $1.5 | |
| 1y | Apsalar | No / 7.0¢ | +1.61 | $0.11 | |
| 1y | Apsalar | Yes / 88.0¢ | +20.00 | $17.6 | |
| 1y | SusanWarrenHR | No / 12.0¢ | +20.00 | $2.4 | |
| 1y | JuneJean | Yes / 93.0¢ | +1.08 | $1 | |
| 1y | LBZcapital | No / 7.0¢ | +1.08 | $0.08 | |
| 1y | LBZcapital | No / 13.0¢ | +275.00 | $35.8 | |
| 1y | mcduck | Yes / 87.0¢ | +297.00 | $258 | |
| 1y | Apsalar | No / 13.0¢ | +22.00 | $2.86 | |
| 1y | Apsalar | No / 15.0¢ | +20.24 | $3.04 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | No / 15.0¢ | +150.00 | $22.5 | |
| 1y | kickstandhater | Yes / 85.0¢ | +170.24 | $145 | |
| 1y | MasterMind21 | Yes / 85.0¢ | +7.06 | $6 | |
| 1y | Apsalar | No / 15.0¢ | +7.06 | $1.06 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | No / 15.0¢ | +1.18 | $0.18 | |
| 1y | JeromeNoel | Yes / 85.0¢ | +1.18 | $1 |
1–22
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?
Yes 100%$198Kvolume
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
Yes 100%$265Kvolume
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?
Yes 100%$172Kvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T
No 87%$804Kvolume
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?
Yes 100%$106Kvolume
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?
No 100%$85Kvolume