
Volume
$169K
Txns
1,352
Traders
268
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 15, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the booster for the seventh Starship-SuperHeavy test explodes at any point during the test from the start of fueling operations to 60 minutes after it makes contact with Earth upon landing. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count). If the seventh launch does not occur by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: The sixth Starship-SuperHeavy test flight which exploded after executing controlled splashdown in the Gulf of Mexico would qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | cinnabar | No / 99.9¢ | -6.07 | $6.06 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | No / 99.9¢ | +6.07 | $6.06 | |
| 1y | UxorSatanas | Yes / 0.3¢ | -433.36 | $1.3 | |
| 1y | unrealisedgains | No / 99.7¢ | -433.36 | $432 | |
| 1y | ujaKanga | Yes / 0.6¢ | -89.96 | $0.54 | |
| 1y | UxorSatanas | Yes / 0.7¢ | -65.75 | $0.46 | |
| 1y | nulleth | Yes / 0.6¢ | +155.71 | $1 | |
| 1y | FoldingNuts272 | No / 99.8¢ | +140.35 | $140 | |
| 1y | Beckumfighter | No / 99.6¢ | -38.45 | $38.3 | |
| 1y | ujaKanga | Yes / 0.2¢ | +61.14 | $0.12 | |
| 1y | imgoodatbetting | No / 99.9¢ | -40.76 | $40.7 | |
| 1y | ujaKanga | Yes / 0.6¢ | -234.00 | $1.4 | |
| 1y | GordonDmitro | No / 99.4¢ | -234.00 | $233 | |
| 1y | UxorSatanas | Yes / 0.2¢ | +945.04 | $1.89 | |
| 1y | FoldingNuts272 | No / 99.8¢ | +945.04 | $943 | |
| 1y | UxorSatanas | Yes / 0.2¢ | +54.96 | $0.11 | |
| 1y | SaudiMinisterOfHomeEntertainment | Yes / 0.3¢ | -236.00 | $0.65 | |
| 1y | Emptiness. | No / 99.7¢ | -181.04 | $180 | |
| 1y | MAGA-2026 | Yes / 0.6¢ | -14.58 | $0.09 | |
| 1y | Emptiness. | No / 99.4¢ | -14.58 | $14.5 | |
| 1y | Scord | Yes / 0.5¢ | -912.89 | $4.56 | |
| 1y | Dropper | Yes / 0.5¢ | +912.89 | $4.56 | |
| 1y | Scord | Yes / 0.5¢ | -287.11 | $1.44 | |
| 1y | kingtan | No / 99.5¢ | -287.11 | $286 | |
| 1y | Liquidifier | No / 99.0¢ | -5.42 | $5.37 |
1–25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 91%$39.2Mvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
No 99%$4.92Mvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
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Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
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