
Volume
$155K
Txns
1,273
Traders
314
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 15, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seventh Starship-SuperHeavy test flight successfully reaches an altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. This market pertains to the seventh Starship launch - if the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the seventh StarShip launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the seventh launch, and this market will stay open until the seventh launch has occurred - if the seventh launch has not occurred by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The outcome will be corroborated by examining SpaceX’s official video feed of the launch (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary.
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 89%$39Mvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
No 99%$4.85Mvolume
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?
Yes 100%$49.9Kvolume
Will May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
Yes 100%$33.7Kvolume
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?
No 100%$64.4Kvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 95%$1.37Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | nulleth | No / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | Liquidifier | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 1y | nulleth | No / 0.2¢ | +416.11 | $1 | |
| 1y | ujaKanga | No / 0.2¢ | -329.81 | $0.66 | |
| 1y | pirateshere | Yes / 99.2¢ | +36.30 | $36 | |
| 1y | FoldingNuts272 | No / 0.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | iamhungry | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,230.00 | $1.23K | |
| 1y | nulleth | No / 0.1¢ | -1,230.00 | $1.23 | |
| 1y | nulleth | No / 0.1¢ | -3.77 | $0 | |
| 1y | Beckumfighter | Yes / 99.9¢ | -3.77 | $3.77 | |
| 1y | nulleth | No / 0.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | FoldingNuts272 | No / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | lranon | Yes / 99.8¢ | +2,501.40 | $2.5K | |
| 1y | Elfandi | Yes / 99.8¢ | -2,501.40 | $2.5K | |
| 1y | ujaKanga | No / 0.2¢ | +329.81 | $0.66 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.9¢ | +4,168.49 | $4.16K | |
| 1y | ehhhemmm | Yes / 99.9¢ | -3,838.68 | $3.83K | |
| 1y | Liquidifier | Yes / 99.7¢ | +245.52 | $245 | |
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +460.03 | $460 | |
| 1y | ehhhemmm | Yes / 99.8¢ | +3,838.68 | $3.83K | |
| 1y | Mbug1717 | No / 0.3¢ | +5,224.90 | $15 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.1¢ | +680.67 | $675 | |
| 1y | sunny9154497 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -108.31 | $108 | |
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +108.31 | $108 | |
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +165.16 | $165 |
1–25