
Volume
$96K
Txns
1,395
Traders
297
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 31, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a kinetic military strike is carried out on the Shimon Peres Negev Nuclear Research Center, between October 2, 12:00 PM ET and October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. For the purposes of this market, only strikes that cause physical damage to the infrastructure of the facility, will be considered. Missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets, or make contact in open open spaces on around the facility will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is official statements from the Israeli and Iranian governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
No 99%$4.59Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 94%$21.9Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$1.92Mvolume
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
No 100%$1.53Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 82%$23.3Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 92%$18.3Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | Ronenio | Yes / 0.2¢ | +584.15 | $1 | |
| 1y | anciano | Yes / 0.1¢ | -168.29 | $0.17 | |
| 1y | 50Whence | Yes / 0.2¢ | -415.86 | $0.83 | |
| 1y | 50Whence | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | 50Whence | Yes / 0.1¢ | +833.33 | $0.83 | |
| 1y | BernardLHester | Yes / 0.1¢ | -833.33 | $0.83 | |
| 1y | 50Whence | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6.01 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | biods15 | No / 99.9¢ | +6.01 | $6 | |
| 1y | Car | No / 99.8¢ | +10.00 | $9.98 | |
| 1y | Geromi | No / 99.8¢ | -10.00 | $9.98 | |
| 1y | poie | No / 99.9¢ | +11.01 | $11 | |
| 1y | Car | No / 99.9¢ | -11.01 | $11 | |
| 1y | Car | No / 99.9¢ | -6.01 | $6 | |
| 1y | turo21 | No / 99.9¢ | +6.01 | $6 | |
| 1y | bujaknk23 | No / 99.9¢ | +6.01 | $6 | |
| 1y | Car | No / 99.9¢ | -6.01 | $6 | |
| 1y | fsfbvcvb | No / 99.9¢ | +0.01 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +0.01 | $0 | |
| 1y | ImJustKen | Yes / 0.1¢ | +581.61 | $0.58 | |
| 1y | hroberts | No / 99.9¢ | -7.00 | $6.99 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | -588.61 | $0.59 | |
| 1y | ExhaustedBoyBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.18 | $0 | |
| 1y | Geromi | No / 99.8¢ | -3.60 | $3.59 | |
| 1y | sit | No / 99.8¢ | +4.78 | $4.77 |
1–25