
Volume
$9K
Txns
150
Traders
49
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 21, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, the US government, or US armed forces announces that US armed forces conducted a new strike against any watercraft designated as a narco terrorist target between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any announcement made within this market's timeframe of a qualifying, previously unannounced strike will count, regardless of whether the strike occurred within this market's timeframe. A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces at a qualifying watercraft that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. A boarding or the use of small arms fire will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the US government or armed forces; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 84%$30.1Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 99%$5.99Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 58%$27.3Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 83%$20.9Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$5.98Mvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
No 53%$8.21Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | stringerr | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1.09 | $1.09 | |
| 4mo | spreadmaker7 | No / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | bamesjond | Yes / 99.9¢ | +6.09 | $6.08 | |
| 4mo | 0x52F70D23526409B20B54A538A2c3093A21f5fB6C-1770672187193 | No / 0.5¢ | +200.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | melganis | Yes / 99.5¢ | +200.00 | $199 | |
| 4mo | stringerr | Yes / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 4mo | tangopo | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 4mo | stringerr | Yes / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 4mo | Dr.mett | Yes / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 4mo | stringerr | Yes / 99.9¢ | -100.90 | $101 | |
| 4mo | Dr.mett | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.90 | $101 | |
| 4mo | 0x2C45f2bE0c74bf01580A4b558bb26979D6e64790-1758033737214 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +38.00 | $38 | |
| 4mo | stringerr | Yes / 99.9¢ | -38.00 | $38 | |
| 4mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | No / 0.1¢ | +132.37 | $0.13 | |
| 4mo | bamesjond | Yes / 99.9¢ | +132.37 | $132 | |
| 4mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | No / 0.1¢ | +1.07 | $0 | |
| 4mo | 0x8a12...8057e3 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.07 | $1.07 | |
| 4mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | No / 0.1¢ | +2.00 | $0 | |
| 4mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | No / 0.1¢ | +3.00 | $0 | |
| 4mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | No / 0.1¢ | +2.00 | $0 | |
| 4mo | 0x05dd...14305c | Yes / 99.9¢ | +3.00 | $3 | |
| 4mo | 0x03f0...303e23 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2.00 | $2 | |
| 4mo | 0x01d8...efb071 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2.00 | $2 | |
| 4mo | 0x09e3...2079b2 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.01 | $5 | |
| 4mo | stringerr | Yes / 99.8¢ | +200.00 | $200 |
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