
Volume
$5K
Txns
72
Traders
31
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 21, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, the US government, or US armed forces announces that US armed forces conducted a new strike against any watercraft designated as a narco terrorist target between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any announcement made within this market's timeframe of a qualifying, previously unannounced strike will count, regardless of whether the strike occurred within this market's timeframe. A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces at a qualifying watercraft that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. A boarding or the use of small arms fire will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the US government or armed forces; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 78%$30.6Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 99%$6.02Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 52%$27.4Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 80%$21Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$6.01Mvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Yes 55%$8.23Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | Michael5289 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2.52 | $2.52 | |
| 4mo | 0xf1b6...09f391 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -2.52 | $2.52 | |
| 4mo | bamesjond | Yes / 99.9¢ | +32.75 | $32.7 | |
| 4mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | No / 0.1¢ | +32.75 | $0.03 | |
| 4mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | No / 0.1¢ | +144.00 | $0.14 | |
| 4mo | 0x2C45f2bE0c74bf01580A4b558bb26979D6e64790-1758033737214 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +144.00 | $144 | |
| 4mo | stringerr | Yes / 99.9¢ | +250.25 | $250 | |
| 4mo | danial-etdolorum807 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +30.00 | $30 | |
| 4mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | No / 0.1¢ | +30.00 | $0.03 | |
| 4mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | No / 0.1¢ | +250.25 | $0.25 | |
| 4mo | 0xB30FBF384E9014e599Bf437ce4ffF3C68426Fd18-1770683897151 | No / 0.9¢ | +333.33 | $3 | |
| 4mo | Michael5289 | Yes / 99.1¢ | +255.56 | $253 | |
| 4mo | akunai | No / 0.9¢ | -77.77 | $0.7 | |
| 4mo | Michael5289 | Yes / 99.1¢ | +200.00 | $198 | |
| 4mo | akunai | No / 0.9¢ | -22.22 | $0.2 | |
| 4mo | 0xB30FBF384E9014e599Bf437ce4ffF3C68426Fd18-1770683897151 | No / 0.9¢ | +222.22 | $2 | |
| 4mo | bamesjond | Yes / 99.9¢ | +261.00 | $261 | |
| 4mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +261.00 | $0.26 | |
| 4mo | 0x405809651DaE4E0556E8F3740B1e16A7DF2D35b5-1768388246454 | No / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | bamesjond | Yes / 99.9¢ | +659.29 | $659 | |
| 4mo | 0x161f...28b075 | No / 0.1¢ | +151.00 | $0.15 | |
| 4mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | No / 0.1¢ | +174.00 | $0.17 | |
| 4mo | triklozoid | No / 0.1¢ | +20.29 | $0.02 | |
| 4mo | TENETENET | No / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 4mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | No / 0.1¢ | +94.00 | $0.09 |
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