
Volume
$9M
Txns
57,246
Traders
6,241
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 15, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
No 90%$10.9Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 75%$43.4Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No 97%$23.6Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?
No 100%$1.44Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
No 97%$1.49Mvolume
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Yes 100%$3.06Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | 0x7c33...33e721 | No / 99.9¢ | -35.13 | $35.1 | |
| 1mo | CongMingLabs | No / 99.9¢ | +35.13 | $35.1 | |
| 1mo | CongMingLabs | No / 99.9¢ | +489.67 | $489 | |
| 1mo | R36za | No / 99.9¢ | -489.67 | $489 | |
| 1mo | CongMingLabs | No / 99.9¢ | +21.34 | $21.3 | |
| 1mo | 0xDDc9ADbA49D8aaB6013099bB5061aab5C3a6152c-1772733972025 | No / 99.9¢ | -21.34 | $21.3 | |
| 1mo | gions | No / 99.9¢ | -18.49 | $18.5 | |
| 1mo | CongMingLabs | No / 99.9¢ | +18.49 | $18.5 | |
| 1mo | RoyalPulon | No / 99.9¢ | -411.47 | $411 | |
| 1mo | CongMingLabs | No / 99.9¢ | +411.47 | $411 | |
| 1mo | CongMingLabs | No / 99.9¢ | +670.64 | $670 | |
| 1mo | JohnDoeHoe | No / 99.9¢ | -670.64 | $670 | |
| 1mo | bw420 | No / 99.9¢ | -39.11 | $39.1 | |
| 1mo | CongMingLabs | No / 99.9¢ | +39.11 | $39.1 | |
| 1mo | GamblingDino | No / 99.9¢ | -5,841.93 | $5.84K | |
| 1mo | CongMingLabs | No / 99.9¢ | +5,841.93 | $5.84K | |
| 1mo | Dmon8or | No / 99.9¢ | -21.27 | $21.2 | |
| 1mo | CongMingLabs | No / 99.9¢ | +21.27 | $21.2 | |
| 1mo | biglongrichboy | No / 99.9¢ | -122.64 | $123 | |
| 1mo | coolboyua | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | CongMingLabs | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 1mo | CongMingLabs | No / 99.9¢ | +122.64 | $123 | |
| 1mo | 0ak | No / 99.9¢ | -5,800.00 | $5.79K | |
| 1mo | CongMingLabs | No / 99.9¢ | +5,800.00 | $5.79K | |
| 1mo | CongMingLabs | No / 99.9¢ | +26.09 | $26.1 |
1–25