Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
ResolvedVolume
$4M
Txns
28,913
Traders
3,794
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 21, 2026
Volume
$4M
Txns
28,913
Traders
3,794
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 21, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 79%$27Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
No 95%$2.71Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
No 94%$1.66Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
No 85%$1.99Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
No 99%$24.8Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 60%$10.6Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28d | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +0.50 | $0.5 | |
| 28d | 0x2768...351a08 | No / 99.9¢ | -0.50 | $0.5 | |
| 28d | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +139.55 | $139 | |
| 28d | Freeborne | No / 99.9¢ | -139.55 | $139 | |
| 28d | 0xd06b...b1b468 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.05 | $1.05 | |
| 28d | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +1.05 | $1.05 | |
| 28d | Jenkyns613 | No / 99.9¢ | -64.10 | $64 | |
| 28d | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +64.10 | $64 | |
| 28d | Rafinius | No / 99.9¢ | -3.15 | $3.15 | |
| 28d | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +3.15 | $3.15 | |
| 28d | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +1.13 | $1.13 | |
| 28d | 0x5c7e...bd5705 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.13 | $1.13 | |
| 28d | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +4.88 | $4.88 | |
| 28d | 0xbea8...9c36ef | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 28d | winner-star | No / 99.9¢ | +5.12 | $5.11 | |
| 28d | freevirus | No / 99.9¢ | +0.72 | $0.72 | |
| 28d | winner-star | No / 99.9¢ | +4.89 | $4.89 | |
| 28d | zzy379777786 | No / 99.9¢ | -5.61 | $5.6 | |
| 28d | siruru | No / 99.9¢ | -7.14 | $7.13 | |
| 28d | freevirus | No / 99.9¢ | +2.15 | $2.15 | |
| 28d | freehand | No / 99.9¢ | +4.99 | $4.99 | |
| 28d | freehand | No / 99.9¢ | +2.02 | $2.02 | |
| 28d | yucezeth | No / 99.9¢ | -2.02 | $2.02 | |
| 28d | freehand | No / 99.9¢ | +3.00 | $3 | |
| 28d | 0xE8d832a2844b323f840D643e2df961B281E9ac5E-1770151340977 | No / 99.9¢ | -5.68 | $5.67 |
1–25