Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
ResolvedVolume
$14M
Txns
90,907
Traders
8,148
Fees
$5
Ends
Apr 30, 2026
Volume
$14M
Txns
90,907
Traders
8,148
Fees
$5
Ends
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
No 100%$20.4Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
No 95%$2.65Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 80%$26.9Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
No 95%$1.51Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
No 99%$24.8Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
No 83%$1.95Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19d | ZhangMuZhi.. | No / 99.9¢ | +9.14 | $9.13 | |
| 19d | 0x7c33...33e721 | No / 99.9¢ | -9.14 | $9.13 | |
| 19d | 0x2768...351a08 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.45 | $1.45 | |
| 19d | ZhangMuZhi.. | No / 99.9¢ | +1.45 | $1.45 | |
| 19d | ZhangMuZhi.. | No / 99.9¢ | +2,165.72 | $2.16K | |
| 19d | traderbepis | No / 99.9¢ | -2,165.72 | $2.16K | |
| 19d | ZhangMuZhi.. | No / 99.9¢ | +4.99 | $4.99 | |
| 19d | 0xeb95...c6ec05 | No / 99.9¢ | -4.99 | $4.99 | |
| 19d | Xenon129 | No / 99.9¢ | -28.34 | $28.3 | |
| 19d | ZhangMuZhi.. | No / 99.9¢ | +28.34 | $28.3 | |
| 19d | Bear88 | No / 99.9¢ | -156.59 | $156 | |
| 19d | ZhangMuZhi.. | No / 99.9¢ | +156.59 | $156 | |
| 19d | ZhangMuZhi.. | No / 99.9¢ | +400.00 | $400 | |
| 19d | 0x51A1594936783A3F526BA11c2197378E1225D654-1768341020180 | No / 99.9¢ | -400.00 | $400 | |
| 19d | peepelooser | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 19d | ZhangMuZhi.. | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 19d | Melody626 | No / 99.9¢ | -50,463.89 | $50.4K | |
| 19d | ZhangMuZhi.. | No / 99.9¢ | +10,000.00 | $9.99K | |
| 19d | RIPstein | No / 99.9¢ | +7,007.00 | $7K | |
| 19d | ZhangMuZhi.. | No / 99.9¢ | +4,342.18 | $4.34K | |
| 19d | x.o | No / 99.9¢ | +4,562.71 | $4.56K | |
| 19d | ZhangMuZhi.. | No / 99.9¢ | +9,998.00 | $9.99K | |
| 19d | ZhangMuZhi.. | No / 99.9¢ | +9,999.00 | $9.99K | |
| 19d | looppau | No / 99.9¢ | +4,555.00 | $4.55K | |
| 19d | somebodynew | No / 99.9¢ | -12.15 | $12.1 |
1–25