
Volume
$4M
Txns
24,415
Traders
2,964
Fees
$19
Ends
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 18d | Sputnik1957 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 18d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 18d | EduardDabrowski1995 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 18d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | +39.17 | $39.1 | |
| 18d | 0x53F9dE87a41dE816daDD7103436B406c034880B7-1770817102841 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -39.17 | $39.1 | |
| 18d | SAPeth | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 18d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 18d | sapsan.trade | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 18d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 18d | Jekcis | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 18d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 18d | Mr957 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 18d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 18d | dsb | Yes / 99.9¢ | -67.37 | $67.3 | |
| 18d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | +67.37 | $67.3 | |
| 18d | 0x2162a60B361F15764eA4D4D804E89b3c49680cB5-1768426925418 | No / 0.1¢ | +4,000.00 | $4 | |
| 18d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | +4,000.00 | $4K | |
| 18d | conotocaurius | Yes / 99.9¢ | -231.30 | $231 | |
| 18d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | +231.30 | $231 | |
| 18d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5,000.00 | $5K | |
| 18d | 0xEd6f0Ed8Bc553d618519348418b04B48a81d2668-1774102094676 | No / 0.1¢ | +5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 18d | 0xEd6f0Ed8Bc553d618519348418b04B48a81d2668-1774102094676 | No / 0.1¢ | +10,000.00 | $10 | |
| 18d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10,000.00 | $9.99K | |
| 18d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.21 | $5.2 |
1–25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
No 100%$20.4Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
No 96%$2.63Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 76%$26.8Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
No 99%$24.6Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
No 91%$1.42Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
No 80%$1.86Mvolume