
Volume
$9K
Txns
98
Traders
40
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, the US government, or US armed forces announces that US armed forces conducted a new strike against any watercraft designated as a narco terrorist target between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any announcement made within this market's timeframe of a qualifying, previously unannounced strike will count, regardless of whether the strike occurred within this market's timeframe. A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces at a qualifying watercraft that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. A boarding or the use of small arms fire will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the US government or armed forces; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 85%$30.2Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 99%$6.01Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 60%$27.4Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 83%$20.9Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$5.99Mvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Yes 51%$8.22Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | Skogeru | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 5mo | Liamyxy | No / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Dr.mett | Yes / 99.3¢ | +44.88 | $44.6 | |
| 5mo | 0x9B2B6d27fBC5dd978486011E9DE0DA06435d5752-1752803536689 | Yes / 99.3¢ | -44.88 | $44.6 | |
| 5mo | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | No / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Ahpo | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 5mo | SumGuys | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 5mo | Liamyxy | No / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | No / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 4... | No / 0.2¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | outcomes | Yes / 99.9¢ | +15.00 | $15 | |
| 5mo | Ahpo | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,190.39 | $1.19K | |
| 5mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | No / 0.1¢ | +300.00 | $0.3 | |
| 5mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | No / 0.1¢ | +164.00 | $0.16 | |
| 5mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +176.39 | $0.18 | |
| 5mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | No / 0.1¢ | +240.00 | $0.24 | |
| 5mo | 0x161f...28b075 | No / 0.1¢ | +310.00 | $0.31 | |
| 5mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | No / 0.1¢ | +102.39 | $0.1 | |
| 5mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | No / 0.1¢ | +300.00 | $0.3 | |
| 5mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +598.61 | $0.6 | |
| 5mo | gogogo1234556 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,001.00 | $1000 | |
| 5mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | No / 0.1¢ | +11.60 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Pollycarp | Yes / 99.8¢ | +30.02 | $30 | |
| 5mo | 4... | No / 0.2¢ | +18.42 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | yoro122 | Yes / 99.0¢ | +5.00 | $4.95 |
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