
Volume
$65K
Txns
1,163
Traders
208
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, the US government, or US armed forces announces that US armed forces conducted a new strike against any watercraft designated as a narco terrorist target between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any announcement made within this market's timeframe of a qualifying, previously unannounced strike will count, regardless of whether the strike occurred within this market's timeframe. A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces at a qualifying watercraft that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. A boarding or the use of small arms fire will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the US government or armed forces; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 76%$30.5Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 99%$6.02Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 53%$27.4Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 81%$21Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$6.01Mvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Yes 55%$8.23Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | paddaa | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,026.58 | $1.03K | |
| 5mo | yougotme | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,026.58 | $1.03K | |
| 5mo | paddaa | Yes / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 5mo | 0x5c8997E0c88Fb42b7923cd5b8A9c91d8ADa936aE-1761003915510 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 5mo | paddaa | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,001.00 | $1000 | |
| 5mo | paddaa | Yes / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 5mo | gogogo1234556 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,001.00 | $1000 | |
| 5mo | 0x5c8997E0c88Fb42b7923cd5b8A9c91d8ADa936aE-1761003915510 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 5mo | Trebor322 | Yes / 99.3¢ | -20.00 | $19.9 | |
| 5mo | paddaa | Yes / 99.3¢ | +15.00 | $14.9 | |
| 5mo | kkkvv | Yes / 99.4¢ | +5.00 | $4.97 | |
| 5mo | 0x161f...28b075 | No / 0.1¢ | +223.00 | $0.22 | |
| 5mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +889.00 | $0.89 | |
| 5mo | yougotme | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,112.00 | $1.11K | |
| 5mo | mountaingreen | No / 0.2¢ | +7.22 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | yougotme | Yes / 99.9¢ | +158.22 | $158 | |
| 5mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | No / 0.1¢ | +151.00 | $0.15 | |
| 5mo | yougotme | Yes / 99.9¢ | +181.00 | $181 | |
| 5mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | No / 0.1¢ | +181.00 | $0.18 | |
| 5mo | dambi | No / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 5mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | No / 0.1¢ | +178.00 | $0.18 | |
| 5mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 0.1¢ | +400.00 | $0.4 | |
| 5mo | mountaingreen | No / 0.3¢ | +5.96 | $0.02 | |
| 5mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | No / 0.1¢ | +253.00 | $0.25 | |
| 5mo | LukeGamma | No / 0.1¢ | +1,500.00 | $1.5 |
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