
Volume
$33K
Txns
856
Traders
179
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 17, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, the US government, or US armed forces announces that US armed forces conducted a new strike against any watercraft designated as a narco terrorist target between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any announcement made within this market's timeframe of a qualifying, previously unannounced strike will count, regardless of whether the strike occurred within this market's timeframe. A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces at a qualifying watercraft that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. A boarding or the use of small arms fire will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the US government or armed forces; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 76%$30.5Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 99%$6.02Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 53%$27.4Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 81%$21Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$6.01Mvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Yes 54%$8.23Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | KimiTalibantonelli | No / 99.9¢ | +10.68 | $10.7 | |
| 4mo | doublejoker | No / 99.9¢ | -10.68 | $10.7 | |
| 4mo | rocky42017 | Yes / 0.7¢ | -64.00 | $0.45 | |
| 4mo | 4... | Yes / 0.8¢ | -6.38 | $0.05 | |
| 4mo | daroghi | No / 99.3¢ | +30.00 | $29.8 | |
| 4mo | Hstb | No / 99.3¢ | -105.38 | $105 | |
| 4mo | mahoushoujo | No / 99.3¢ | +5.00 | $4.96 | |
| 4mo | Hstb | No / 99.7¢ | -5.02 | $5 | |
| 4mo | JNWBDmmk | No / 99.7¢ | +5.02 | $5 | |
| 4mo | Hstb | No / 99.7¢ | -100.00 | $99.7 | |
| 4mo | danial-etdolorum807 | No / 99.7¢ | +100.00 | $99.7 | |
| 4mo | bamesjond | No / 99.9¢ | +628.45 | $628 | |
| 4mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +105.00 | $0.1 | |
| 4mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +32.00 | $0.03 | |
| 4mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +162.45 | $0.16 | |
| 4mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +329.00 | $0.33 | |
| 4mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 4mo | bamesjond | No / 99.9¢ | +484.63 | $484 | |
| 4mo | 0xRocket666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +150.00 | $0.15 | |
| 4mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +71.00 | $0.07 | |
| 4mo | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6.08 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +42.55 | $0.04 | |
| 4mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +115.00 | $0.12 | |
| 4mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +1.38 | $0 | |
| 4mo | 4... | Yes / 0.2¢ | +9.75 | $0.02 |
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