
Volume
$39K
Txns
397
Traders
131
Fees
$0
Ends
Nov 24, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, the US government, or US armed forces announces that US armed forces conducted a new strike against any watercraft designated as a narco terrorist target between November 13, 4:45 PM ET, and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any announcement made within this market's timeframe of a qualifying, previously unannounced strike will count, regardless of whether the strike occurred within this market's timeframe. A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, naval guns, artillery, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces at a qualifying watercraft that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. A boarding or the use of small arms fire will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the US government or armed forces, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 81%$30.5Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 99%$6.02Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 54%$27.4Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 81%$21Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$6.01Mvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Yes 54%$8.23Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6mo | Martijn040 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | M888 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +974.00 | $973 | |
| 6mo | OrderFirst | No / 0.1¢ | -26.00 | $0.03 | |
| 6mo | gBIoLqgweY | No / 0.4¢ | +396.80 | $1.59 | |
| 6mo | M888 | Yes / 99.6¢ | +396.80 | $395 | |
| 6mo | flexer78 | No / 0.4¢ | -100.20 | $0.4 | |
| 6mo | gBIoLqgweY | No / 0.4¢ | +110.20 | $0.44 | |
| 6mo | RichardTheTurd | No / 0.4¢ | -10.00 | $0.04 | |
| 6mo | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | No / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | Allinnothing | Yes / 99.9¢ | +14.00 | $14 | |
| 6mo | chillsshack | No / 0.2¢ | +500.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | Allinnothing | Yes / 99.9¢ | +3,216.00 | $3.21K | |
| 6mo | 0.01 | No / 0.2¢ | +500.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +861.00 | $0.86 | |
| 6mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | No / 0.1¢ | +140.00 | $0.14 | |
| 6mo | 0x6993...08c79a | No / 0.1¢ | +646.00 | $0.65 | |
| 6mo | KeyNg | No / 0.2¢ | +500.00 | $1 | |
| 6mo | theringuild | No / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 6mo | 0xf03a...ee7a9a | No / 0.1¢ | +19.00 | $0.02 | |
| 6mo | flexer78 | No / 0.2¢ | +100.20 | $0.2 | |
| 6mo | Nightfr | Yes / 99.8¢ | +100.20 | $100 | |
| 6mo | Kairos. | Yes / 99.5¢ | -292.59 | $291 | |
| 6mo | SQP3G | Yes / 99.5¢ | +292.59 | $291 | |
| 6mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | No / 0.1¢ | +142.00 | $0.14 | |
| 6mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | No / 0.1¢ | +141.00 | $0.14 |
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