
Volume
$82K
Txns
1,352
Traders
300
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 20, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump publicly attributes the Iran-Israel escalation to Joe Biden between June 15, 2025 and June 20, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The statement must assert that Biden’s actions or inaction caused or contributed to the escalation. Statements which directly implicitly blame Biden without using his name (e.g. "If there had been another President in 2022, this would have never happened") will qualify. Only public statements from Trump will count. Reports quoting others, anonymous sources, or indirect attributions will not be considered. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 84%$29.6Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 57%$27.2Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 100%$4.59Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 83%$20.8Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$5.95Mvolume
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
No 56%$8.08Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11mo | hindu | No / 99.9¢ | +40.00 | $40 | |
| 11mo | daoxin | No / 99.9¢ | -40.00 | $40 | |
| 11mo | hindu | No / 99.9¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 11mo | daoxin | No / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 11mo | hindu | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 11mo | daoxin | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 11mo | 0x6e8f80ca0cddb8d3f207dc5147ac0e6062ae162 | No / 99.9¢ | -142.00 | $142 | |
| 11mo | hindu | No / 99.9¢ | +142.00 | $142 | |
| 11mo | johnnyA | No / 99.8¢ | -542.96 | $542 | |
| 11mo | johnnyA | No / 99.6¢ | -800.00 | $797 | |
| 11mo | hindu | No / 99.8¢ | +4,135.04 | $4.13K | |
| 11mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +8.00 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +11.00 | $0.01 | |
| 11mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +17.00 | $0.02 | |
| 11mo | qwertzu | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 11mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +130.00 | $0.13 | |
| 11mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +124.00 | $0.12 | |
| 11mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 11mo | Rocky931 | Yes / 0.5¢ | +28.00 | $0.14 | |
| 11mo | johnnyA | No / 99.7¢ | -1,000.00 | $997 | |
| 11mo | Haradwaith | Yes / 0.1¢ | +215.08 | $0.22 | |
| 11mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +187.00 | $0.19 | |
| 11mo | johnnyA | No / 99.8¢ | -472.00 | $471 | |
| 11mo | Rocky931 | Yes / 0.5¢ | +145.23 | $0.73 | |
| 11mo | ratue | Yes / 0.7¢ | +357.00 | $2.5 |
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