
Volume
$142K
Txns
7,742
Traders
488
Fees
$1,241
Liquidity
$17,140
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates, authorizes, or directs a federal government review process for the public release of new artificial intelligence models by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying action must create a federal process for reviewing or approving the public release of new artificial intelligence models. A qualifying review process may apply to artificial intelligence models generally, only to models meeting specified criteria (e.g.capability, safety, cybersecurity, national-security, or other risk-based criteria), or to models selected for review at the discretion of the federal government. Legislation or executive actions which create a group or committee responsible for overseeing artificial intelligence matters will only qualify if they explicitly create a qualifying review process. Non-binding statements, proposals, unconfirmed reports, or federal review of artificial intelligence models solely for government procurement or internal government use will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11m | ultralisk | No / 64.0¢ | +20.00 | $12.8 | |
| 11m | ragutwo | No / 63.1¢ | -60.00 | $37.8 | |
| 11m | Bodytobody | Yes / 36.0¢ | -20.00 | $7.2 | |
| 11m | BikesAreTheBikes | Yes / 36.0¢ | -20.00 | $7.2 | |
| 5h | Terfa | No / 63.1¢ | -9.00 | $5.68 | |
| 5h | Bodytobody | Yes / 36.0¢ | -9.00 | $3.24 | |
| 5h | ViscaElBarca | Yes / 32.1¢ | -6.65 | $2.14 | |
| 5h | Konfucious | No / 67.0¢ | -6.65 | $4.46 | |
| 5h | aelrinn | No / 66.0¢ | +75.73 | $50.7 | |
| 5h | puposalbani | No / 66.0¢ | -5.00 | $3.3 | |
| 5h | ViscaElBarca | Yes / 33.0¢ | +6.66 | $2.2 | |
| 5h | ultralisk | Yes / 34.0¢ | +20.00 | $6.8 | |
| 5h | 0x86Dd5200572b3EAe548d8fd9E807b78468D41Af2-1768052013112 | No / 65.0¢ | -10.00 | $6.5 | |
| 5h | KenneyG | No / 67.0¢ | -5.07 | $3.4 | |
| 5h | Bodytobody | Yes / 34.0¢ | +29.00 | $9.86 | |
| 6h | Konfucious | No / 60.0¢ | +10.00 | $6 | |
| 6h | thepolwinner | Yes / 39.0¢ | -10.55 | $4.11 | |
| 6h | thepolwinner | Yes / 39.0¢ | -10.55 | $4.11 | |
| 6h | KenneyG | No / 60.0¢ | +5.00 | $3 | |
| 6h | thepolwinner | Yes / 39.0¢ | -10.55 | $4.11 | |
| 6h | dzP3 | Yes / 40.0¢ | -166.05 | $66.4 | |
| 6h | BikesAreTheBikes | Yes / 37.0¢ | -20.00 | $7.4 | |
| 6h | 0x86Dd5200572b3EAe548d8fd9E807b78468D41Af2-1768052013112 | No / 61.0¢ | +10.00 | $6.1 | |
| 6h | ciganykandur | No / 59.6¢ | -303.25 | $181 | |
| 6h | thepolwinner | Yes / 39.0¢ | -10.55 | $4.11 |
1–25
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Yes 54%$334Kvolume
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100%$2.94Mvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 95%$3.25Mvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 87%$1.9Mvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
No 65%$115Kvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
No 93%$88.9Kvolume