
Volume
$2M
Txns
8,585
Traders
1,752
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$46,238
Ends
May 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly announces, that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46m | DREMMERS | No / 99.2¢ | -1.43 | $1.42 | |
| 46m | pyituet | No / 99.2¢ | +1.43 | $1.42 | |
| 49m | DREMMERS | No / 99.2¢ | -1.13 | $1.12 | |
| 49m | irertwe | No / 99.2¢ | +1.13 | $1.12 | |
| 1h | cvsas1 | No / 99.2¢ | +1.43 | $1.42 | |
| 1h | DREMMERS | No / 99.2¢ | -1.43 | $1.42 | |
| 1h | Wilhelm972 | Yes / 0.9¢ | -127.00 | $1.14 | |
| 1h | orianna657corinne | No / 99.1¢ | -19.00 | $18.8 | |
| 1h | BrandonnAlexx | Yes / 0.9¢ | -34.00 | $0.31 | |
| 1h | jenniemanuel827 | No / 99.1¢ | -41.00 | $40.6 | |
| 1h | Charity309 | No / 99.1¢ | -15.00 | $14.9 | |
| 1h | orianna657corinne | No / 99.1¢ | -20.00 | $19.8 | |
| 1h | Fernando379 | No / 99.1¢ | -30.00 | $29.7 | |
| 1h | Shiloh591 | No / 99.1¢ | -36.00 | $35.7 | |
| 1h | emet935molly | No / 99.1¢ | -22.00 | $21.8 | |
| 1h | Wilhelm972 | Yes / 0.9¢ | -22.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1h | DREMMERS | No / 99.2¢ | -10.08 | $10 | |
| 1h | Idapro555 | No / 99.2¢ | +10.08 | $10 | |
| 1h | katesafiya8443 | No / 99.1¢ | -5.00 | $4.96 | |
| 1h | jordanmartina4279 | No / 99.1¢ | +5.00 | $4.96 | |
| 1h | jordanmartina4279 | No / 99.1¢ | +2.00 | $1.98 | |
| 1h | opheliabartholomew1411 | No / 99.1¢ | +32.00 | $31.7 | |
| 1h | CousinMars63267 | No / 99.1¢ | +54.00 | $53.5 | |
| 1h | ciaranshelia7783 | No / 99.1¢ | -32.00 | $31.7 | |
| 1h | ciaranshelia7783 | No / 99.1¢ | -12.00 | $11.9 |
1–25
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
No 95%$2.63Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 76%$26.8Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
No 99%$24.6Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
No 91%$1.42Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
No 80%$1.86Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No 94%$17.5Mvolume