
Volume
$319K
Txns
7,224
Traders
765
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom enters a state of civil war by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting confirming the UK is in a civil war. Note: Media reports that use the phrase "civil war" metaphorically will not count. Only a consensus of reporting that the UK has entered a literal civil war will qualify.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | deina | No / 99.9¢ | +6.32 | $6.31 | |
| 1y | mirohd | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6.32 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Brokie | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | mirohd | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | mirohd | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3.00 | $0 | |
| 1y | aptapt1 | No / 99.9¢ | +3.00 | $3 | |
| 1y | gurke | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | mirohd | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | mirohd | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.01 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Cocacolaaa | No / 99.9¢ | +5.01 | $5 | |
| 1y | IsaiasLe | No / 99.9¢ | +129.64 | $130 | |
| 1y | mirohd | Yes / 0.1¢ | +129.64 | $0.13 | |
| 1y | EmmaNikolaas | No / 99.7¢ | -0.90 | $0.9 | |
| 1y | PolyDump | Yes / 0.3¢ | -0.90 | $0 | |
| 1y | EmmaNikolaas | No / 99.9¢ | +1.01 | $1.01 | |
| 1y | mirohd | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.01 | $0 | |
| 1y | PolyDump | Yes / 0.3¢ | -0.90 | $0 | |
| 1y | waclawwawrzyniec | No / 99.7¢ | -0.90 | $0.9 | |
| 1y | waclawwawrzyniec | No / 99.9¢ | +1.01 | $1.01 | |
| 1y | mirohd | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.01 | $0 | |
| 1y | PolyDump | Yes / 0.3¢ | -0.92 | $0 | |
| 1y | ChenZhiQiang | No / 99.7¢ | -0.92 | $0.92 | |
| 1y | FrankVB | Yes / 0.1¢ | -494.10 | $0.49 | |
| 1y | mirohd | Yes / 0.1¢ | +494.10 | $0.49 | |
| 1y | PolyDump | Yes / 0.3¢ | -0.90 | $0 |
1–25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
No 100%$6.73Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Yes 97%$6Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 85%$34.8Mvolume
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Yes 100%$2.94Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
No 99%$27.3Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
No 93%$1.35Mvolume