
Volume
$133K
Txns
3,260
Traders
566
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government officially announces or confirms the United States is engaging in military coordination with, or providing military support to, Kurdish groups operating in Iran by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For announcements to qualify, they must be official policy announcements or definitive statements by the US President. For confirmations to qualify, they must be unambiguous, on-the-record public statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity, speaking in an official capacity. Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement or qualifying confirmation will not be considered. For the purposes of this market, military coordination or support includes but is not limited to joint operations, direct battlefield assistance, intelligence sharing, weapons or equipment transfers, training, logistics support, or other clearly stated military assistance. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23d | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +199.20 | $199 | |
| 23d | 0x6bDbBbf6b7A21c1bb1e83d5ba4c01ac1C4b64496-1771839100479 | No / 99.9¢ | -199.20 | $199 | |
| 24d | claudio-oktopus | No / 99.9¢ | +9.30 | $9.29 | |
| 24d | moneysaver1 | No / 99.9¢ | -9.30 | $9.29 | |
| 24d | 0x6244cC3FFCaa5C62410C53257B07670bc4CCAa43-1768308127021 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -142.85 | $0.14 | |
| 24d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -142.85 | $143 | |
| 24d | Anne666 | Yes / 1.4¢ | -108.15 | $1.51 | |
| 24d | HerrieDavis | Yes / 1.2¢ | -50.00 | $0.6 | |
| 24d | Assetkiwi | Yes / 2.0¢ | +306.77 | $6 | |
| 24d | 9... | Yes / 1.0¢ | -7.46 | $0.07 | |
| 24d | 0x8c66E28FbE7Ede7F57bA6CBc70408DfF442944F3-1777220320442 | No / 97.3¢ | +141.16 | $137 | |
| 24d | Anne666 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +58.79 | $0.06 | |
| 24d | 9... | Yes / 0.3¢ | +12.35 | $0.04 | |
| 24d | liverpredictor | No / 99.8¢ | -23.00 | $23 | |
| 24d | Basilomo | No / 99.8¢ | +94.14 | $94 | |
| 24d | 9... | Yes / 0.3¢ | +10.03 | $0.03 | |
| 24d | Basilomo | No / 99.7¢ | +10.03 | $10 | |
| 24d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 97.0¢ | +147.03 | $143 | |
| 24d | Rednaxxobogo | Yes / 3.0¢ | +166.67 | $5 | |
| 24d | pmaker | Yes / 3.0¢ | -19.64 | $0.59 | |
| 24d | pmaker | Yes / 3.0¢ | -34.54 | $1.04 | |
| 24d | MartinaCandombe | Yes / 2.9¢ | -22.08 | $0.64 | |
| 24d | vacherot69 | No / 97.0¢ | -56.62 | $54.9 | |
| 24d | MartinaCandombe | Yes / 2.9¢ | -177.92 | $5.16 | |
| 24d | Mrcurls | Yes / 2.9¢ | +279.36 | $8 |
1–25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
No 91%$11.5Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 77%$43.8Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No 97%$23.8Mvolume
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Yes 100%$4.42Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
No 100%$1.61Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?
No 100%$1.44Mvolume