
Volume
$298K
Txns
7,648
Traders
1,004
Fees
$3
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (military, DEA, CIA, or any other agency) directly participates on the ground in an anti-cartel operation on Mexican soil by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” U.S. personnel must directly participate to qualify. U.S. personnel involved in intelligence, surveillance, logistical, support, or advisory roles will not count. Only direct U.S. participation which is either confirmed by the U.S. Government or an overwhelming consensus of reporting will count. For example, previous operations such as the 2014 capture of Joaquín "El Chapo" Guzmán, in which U.S. forces were rumored to have been embedded with Mexican Marines, would not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government, however an overwhelming consensus of reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19d | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,164.82 | $2.16K | |
| 19d | 95Wal-1yX28-Sal73 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -2,164.82 | $2.16K | |
| 19d | Suirenzirou | Yes / 99.9¢ | -42.19 | $42.1 | |
| 19d | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +42.19 | $42.1 | |
| 19d | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +113.63 | $114 | |
| 19d | 1984- | Yes / 99.9¢ | -113.63 | $114 | |
| 19d | FRKMT | Yes / 99.9¢ | -40.85 | $40.8 | |
| 19d | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +40.85 | $40.8 | |
| 19d | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,078.53 | $1.08K | |
| 19d | conotocaurius | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,078.53 | $1.08K | |
| 19d | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2.56 | $2.56 | |
| 19d | 0x3ca8...480a93 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -2.56 | $2.56 | |
| 19d | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 19d | tugggjsz | No / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 19d | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.0¢ | +6.00 | $5.94 | |
| 19d | projectparrot | Yes / 99.0¢ | -6.00 | $5.94 | |
| 19d | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.0¢ | +20.93 | $20.7 | |
| 19d | pololita777 | Yes / 99.0¢ | -61.72 | $61.1 | |
| 19d | ZhangMuZhi.. | Yes / 99.0¢ | +40.79 | $40.4 | |
| 19d | 0x31ff...f898b4 | Yes / 99.0¢ | -4.65 | $4.6 | |
| 19d | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.0¢ | +4.65 | $4.6 | |
| 19d | fm14 | No / 1.0¢ | +100.00 | $1 | |
| 19d | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.0¢ | +100.00 | $99 | |
| 19d | 0x4672...2d025a | Yes / 99.0¢ | -2.02 | $2 | |
| 19d | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.0¢ | +2.02 | $2 |
1–25
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?
No 73%$48.4Kvolume
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?
No 85%$22.2Kvolume
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?
No 77%$377Kvolume
US issues Do-Not-Travel warning for Jalisco State by February 28, 2026?
No 100%$57.1Kvolume
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?
No 100%$178Kvolume
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
No 100%$1.23Mvolume