
Volume
$13K
Txns
464
Traders
135
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$0
Ends
Apr 4, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that both pilots downed over Iran have been recovered by April 4, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Recovered” is defined as the pilots both being physically in the custody of the United States, and extracted from Iranian soil. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that both were in the custody of the United States within this market’s timeframe. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives. An announcement must be made within this market’s timeframe to qualify toward its resolution; announcements made outside of this market’s timeframe will not be considered.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | 0xa3bFC2fd48E8537c6D7272f37c25198bDC63f305-1775129252423 | No / 64.0¢ | +5.00 | $3.2 | |
| 1mo | RichardTheTurd | No / 64.0¢ | -5.00 | $3.2 | |
| 1mo | yeeTradez | No / 63.0¢ | +20.00 | $12.6 | |
| 1mo | Gluckyklucky | Yes / 37.0¢ | +20.00 | $7.4 | |
| 1mo | djx | No / 63.0¢ | -100.00 | $63 | |
| 1mo | yeeTradez | No / 63.0¢ | +100.00 | $63 | |
| 1mo | BEUEsp | No / 61.0¢ | +58.05 | $35.4 | |
| 1mo | Molni | No / 61.8¢ | -100.00 | $61.8 | |
| 1mo | djx | No / 63.0¢ | +41.95 | $26.4 | |
| 1mo | trashtier | No / 65.0¢ | +40.00 | $26 | |
| 1mo | Anononono | Yes / 36.0¢ | -100.00 | $36 | |
| 1mo | Pitu2123 | No / 63.0¢ | +40.00 | $25.2 | |
| 1mo | RichardTheTurd | No / 63.0¢ | +10.00 | $6.3 | |
| 1mo | Galleton | No / 64.1¢ | -357.71 | $229 | |
| 1mo | 0x74E35b3c06023A4E34a361cC93788CD97d2e7CEe-1774100149121 | No / 66.0¢ | +9.66 | $6.38 | |
| 1mo | djx | No / 63.0¢ | +58.05 | $36.6 | |
| 1mo | Molni | No / 65.0¢ | +100.00 | $65 | |
| 1mo | 0x74E35b3c06023A4E34a361cC93788CD97d2e7CEe-1774100149121 | No / 66.0¢ | +0.34 | $0.22 | |
| 1mo | shadyoak | No / 66.0¢ | +119.66 | $79 | |
| 1mo | trashtier | No / 66.0¢ | -120.00 | $79.2 | |
| 1mo | 0x74E35b3c06023A4E34a361cC93788CD97d2e7CEe-1774100149121 | No / 67.0¢ | +20.00 | $13.4 | |
| 1mo | shadyoak | No / 67.0¢ | -20.00 | $13.4 | |
| 1mo | 0x342c25070d0bEC3f41286765Eb698512a8B16E9f-1771868015923 | Yes / 34.0¢ | +184.68 | $62.8 | |
| 1mo | shadyoak | No / 66.0¢ | +82.15 | $54.2 | |
| 1mo | shadyoak | No / 66.0¢ | +74.15 | $48.9 |
1–25
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
No 96%$2.65Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 80%$26.9Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
No 99%$24.8Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
No 95%$1.51Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
No 82%$1.94Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No 94%$17.5Mvolume