
Volume
$146K
Txns
2,672
Traders
569
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between April 8 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 99%$6.34Mvolume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$17.6Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$10.1Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 92%$17.5Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$5.88Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 74%$3.6Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | Cronnozzz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2.77 | $0 | |
| 5mo | FrancisSP8 | No / 99.9¢ | +2.77 | $2.77 | |
| 5mo | Cronnozzz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +32.23 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | tiredShip | No / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 5mo | Owwwnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +17.77 | $0.02 | |
| 5mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +374.04 | $0.37 | |
| 5mo | Yukaii | Yes / 0.1¢ | +43.82 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Pestle | Yes / 0.1¢ | +54.78 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | Polyfirefly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +46.99 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | Ignisss | Yes / 0.1¢ | +30.94 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | Blaorra | Yes / 0.1¢ | +46.52 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | Nexuus | Yes / 0.1¢ | +38.18 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Shipoo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +37.78 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Kanp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +42.11 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +76.00 | $0.08 | |
| 5mo | AsuraSmellsLikeASS | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Oddinn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +37.22 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Rlso | Yes / 0.1¢ | +31.24 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | tiredShip | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 5mo | Owwwnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +30.40 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | Avvnnnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +41.60 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Snpe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +58.38 | $0.06 | |
| 5mo | CANDDD | No / 99.9¢ | +22.00 | $22 | |
| 5mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +22.00 | $0.02 | |
| 5mo | mindshare | No / 99.9¢ | +47.23 | $47.2 |
1–25