
Volume
$2M
Txns
23,645
Traders
4,010
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States military or federal government officially announces that it will escort, is escorting, or has escorted, any commercial ship through the Strait of Hormuz by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. Escort refers to United States military or government personnel accompanying or actively providing protective overwatch for a specific commercial vessel or convoy during its transit through the Strait of Hormuz. Personnel do not need to be aboard the commercial vessel to qualify. Escort may occur from a separate naval vessel or from aerial assets assigned to accompany or protect the transit. A qualifying announcement must be definitive. Suggestions, unconfirmed reports, or other non-definitive statements will not count. A widespread consensus of credible reporting that United States military or government personnel have escorted at least one commercial vessel on a journey through the Strait of Hormuz will also be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government and military of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
No 89%$12.3Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 67%$44.4Mvolume
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Yes 100%$5.53Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
No 100%$1.68Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
No 98%$9.78Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No 96%$24.2Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | yahsie | No / 99.9¢ | -24.44 | $24.4 | |
| 1mo | looppau | No / 99.9¢ | +24.44 | $24.4 | |
| 1mo | randommandem404 | No / 99.9¢ | -37.10 | $37.1 | |
| 1mo | looppau | No / 99.9¢ | +37.10 | $37.1 | |
| 1mo | agentic-alpha | No / 99.9¢ | -7.86 | $7.85 | |
| 1mo | looppau | No / 99.9¢ | +7.86 | $7.85 | |
| 1mo | looppau | No / 99.9¢ | +7.04 | $7.03 | |
| 1mo | ggdoug | No / 99.9¢ | -7.04 | $7.03 | |
| 1mo | asxasd | No / 99.9¢ | -200.00 | $200 | |
| 1mo | looppau | No / 99.9¢ | +200.00 | $200 | |
| 1mo | looppau | No / 99.9¢ | +15.87 | $15.9 | |
| 1mo | 0x8e181eB2842c42428a6054Ec9D5e0746167c912B-1773523984022 | No / 99.9¢ | -15.87 | $15.9 | |
| 1mo | looppau | No / 99.9¢ | +24.56 | $24.5 | |
| 1mo | kanfg | No / 99.9¢ | -24.56 | $24.5 | |
| 1mo | looppau | No / 99.9¢ | +24.09 | $24.1 | |
| 1mo | turu | No / 99.9¢ | -24.09 | $24.1 | |
| 1mo | dev090 | No / 99.5¢ | -10.15 | $10.1 | |
| 1mo | Secondhandvinyl | No / 99.5¢ | +10.15 | $10.1 | |
| 1mo | 101dalma | Yes / 0.6¢ | -470.00 | $2.82 | |
| 1mo | JJblair | No / 99.4¢ | -824.61 | $819 | |
| 1mo | 101dalma | Yes / 0.5¢ | -30.00 | $0.15 | |
| 1mo | SlenderMan | No / 99.3¢ | +304.61 | $302 | |
| 1mo | Secondhandvinyl | No / 99.6¢ | +20.00 | $19.9 | |
| 1mo | 101dalma | Yes / 0.2¢ | +500.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | skylove | No / 99.8¢ | +500.00 | $499 |
1–25