
Volume
$537K
Txns
3,268
Traders
506
Fees
$0
Ends
—
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
No 99%$4.59Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 96%$21.5Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$1.92Mvolume
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
No 100%$1.51Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 92%$18.2Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 84%$23.2Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | Dubrawa | No / 99.9¢ | -14.93 | $14.9 | |
| 3mo | flameron | No / 99.9¢ | +14.93 | $14.9 | |
| 3mo | AgakLain | No / 99.9¢ | -6.12 | $6.11 | |
| 3mo | flameron | No / 99.9¢ | +6.12 | $6.11 | |
| 3mo | flameron | No / 99.9¢ | +382.27 | $382 | |
| 3mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +617.73 | $617 | |
| 3mo | Kerosa | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 3mo | xMozly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +1.03 | $1.03 | |
| 3mo | 0x567b27A595827177Bd04012d6D4e6D8533554505-1772283945157 | No / 99.9¢ | -1.03 | $1.03 | |
| 3mo | APECTAHT | No / 99.9¢ | -10.22 | $10.2 | |
| 3mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +10.22 | $10.2 | |
| 3mo | gellet | No / 99.9¢ | -15.00 | $15 | |
| 3mo | CaKeChoco | Yes / 0.1¢ | +356.02 | $0.36 | |
| 3mo | OraculumNobius | No / 99.9¢ | +371.02 | $371 | |
| 3mo | CaKeChoco | Yes / 0.1¢ | +643.98 | $0.64 | |
| 3mo | NYKD-54 | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 3mo | NYKD-54 | No / 99.9¢ | +43.98 | $43.9 | |
| 3mo | LazzyBear | No / 99.9¢ | +500.00 | $500 | |
| 3mo | 0x1727...429e2b | No / 99.9¢ | -1.02 | $1.02 | |
| 3mo | NYKD-54 | No / 99.9¢ | +1.02 | $1.02 | |
| 3mo | NYKD-54 | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 3mo | johnywara | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 3mo | 0x8349...e3bb03 | No / 99.0¢ | +1.02 | $1.01 |
1–25