
Volume
$751K
Txns
6,384
Traders
1,015
Fees
$0
Ends
—
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
No 100%$7.06Mvolume
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
No 99%$4.59Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 99%$6.5Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 97%$19Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Yes 100%$10.7Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 85%$22.9Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | OwalaBottle | No / 99.9¢ | -1.02 | $1.02 | |
| 4mo | KimiTalibantonelli | No / 99.9¢ | +1.02 | $1.02 | |
| 4mo | 0x8bf70c4C1dC2E5D45329f2Bf3C40993f43d231c4-1767729167825 | No / 99.9¢ | -212.96 | $213 | |
| 4mo | KimiTalibantonelli | No / 99.9¢ | +212.96 | $213 | |
| 4mo | bettioponomik | No / 99.6¢ | -61.44 | $61.2 | |
| 4mo | seisui | Yes / 0.3¢ | -33.98 | $0.1 | |
| 4mo | Dit26978 | No / 99.4¢ | +27.46 | $27.3 | |
| 4mo | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.99 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | scout | No / 99.9¢ | +2,649.59 | $2.65K | |
| 4mo | ScottyNooo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 4mo | ScottyNooo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +300.00 | $0.3 | |
| 4mo | Stairs. | No / 99.9¢ | -1,929.60 | $1.93K | |
| 4mo | ScottyNooo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 4mo | TENETENET | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 4mo | rht1 | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 4mo | scout | No / 99.8¢ | +2,200.56 | $2.2K | |
| 4mo | ScottyNooo | Yes / 0.2¢ | +300.00 | $0.6 | |
| 4mo | ScottyNooo | Yes / 0.2¢ | +100.00 | $0.2 | |
| 4mo | YHK | No / 99.7¢ | -0.88 | $0.88 | |
| 4mo | Gl4d | No / 99.8¢ | -1,199.68 | $1.2K | |
| 4mo | ScottyNooo | Yes / 0.2¢ | +200.00 | $0.4 | |
| 4mo | 2B9S | Yes / 0.2¢ | +400.00 | $0.8 | |
| 4mo | YHK | No / 99.7¢ | -223.83 | $223 | |
| 4mo | Dit26978 | No / 99.7¢ | +335.00 | $334 | |
| 4mo | 2026richlv | Yes / 0.3¢ | +111.17 | $0.33 |
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