
Volume
$4M
Txns
8,582
Traders
1,149
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if U.S. government forces seize an oil tanker or any other ship actively transporting oil between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. government forces refer to any active U.S. military (including U.S. Coast Guard), law enforcement, or intelligence personnel or contractors. Seizes refers to U.S. forces taking custody of or asserting operational control of the vessel, including boarding and taking control of the vessel, detaining the vessel indefinitely, or forcefully rerouting the vessel to a U.S.-controlled port. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
No 100%$20.4Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
No 96%$2.63Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 76%$26.8Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
No 99%$24.6Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
No 91%$1.42Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
No 80%$1.86Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25d | 0x7b1888BF97AAeAb9d9CA763Cc6C96CBfCD09Bba9-1777076783108 | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 25d | basedd | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 25d | basedd | Yes / 99.9¢ | +6,000.00 | $5.99K | |
| 25d | ruxber | No / 0.1¢ | +6,000.00 | $6 | |
| 25d | basedd | Yes / 99.9¢ | +3,000.00 | $3K | |
| 25d | 0x5D09b7daF26dfd7961313A12A7D0d8D6182E1192-1777067290711 | No / 0.1¢ | +3,000.00 | $3 | |
| 25d | 0x41b74dE9F139f3D35C74590Be19c0AD37E29d249-1777073477382 | No / 0.1¢ | +10,000.00 | $10 | |
| 25d | basedd | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10,000.00 | $9.99K | |
| 25d | Wippie | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 25d | basedd | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 25d | SALV0 | No / 0.1¢ | +5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 25d | basedd | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5,000.00 | $5K | |
| 25d | fer75 | No / 0.1¢ | +9,240.00 | $9.24 | |
| 25d | basedd | Yes / 99.9¢ | +9,240.00 | $9.23K | |
| 25d | 0xD9B1b3C7B1bC9623F6A0568Bc37cE6af340a38f5-1770912795905 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +7,272.63 | $7.27K | |
| 25d | 0xD9B1b3C7B1bC9623F6A0568Bc37cE6af340a38f5-1770912795905 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +4,444.00 | $4.44K | |
| 25d | basedd | Yes / 99.9¢ | +7,088.84 | $7.08K | |
| 25d | 0xD9B1b3C7B1bC9623F6A0568Bc37cE6af340a38f5-1770912795905 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +11,111.00 | $11.1K | |
| 25d | Jesusbaby-1775265774891 | No / 0.1¢ | +30,000.00 | $30 | |
| 25d | 0xD9B1b3C7B1bC9623F6A0568Bc37cE6af340a38f5-1770912795905 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +83.53 | $83.4 | |
| 25d | number777 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -20.60 | $20.6 | |
| 25d | 0xD9B1b3C7B1bC9623F6A0568Bc37cE6af340a38f5-1770912795905 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +20.60 | $20.6 | |
| 25d | number777 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +20.60 | $20.6 | |
| 25d | 0x1b92b0cdF041D1b1F14E7e5C2234b9B05EfE367E-1777070987455 | No / 0.1¢ | +5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 25d | 0xD9B1b3C7B1bC9623F6A0568Bc37cE6af340a38f5-1770912795905 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +4,339.87 | $4.34K |
1–25