
Volume
$484K
Txns
1,800
Traders
504
Fees
$2
Liquidity
$49,974
Ends
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify. Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure. A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3s | Icewolf666 | No / 86.0¢ | +116.28 | $100 | |
| 3s | Tigerofthehood | No / 86.0¢ | -116.28 | $100 | |
| 24m | Tigerofthehood | No / 86.0¢ | -5.81 | $5 | |
| 24m | whatskyle | No / 86.0¢ | +5.81 | $5 | |
| 48m | 0xd0385AB1F5AF08F8616413204F9f546bcF1f3142-1754682172198 | No / 86.0¢ | +2.33 | $2 | |
| 48m | Tigerofthehood | No / 86.0¢ | -2.33 | $2 | |
| 57m | Tigerofthehood | No / 86.0¢ | -1.27 | $1.09 | |
| 57m | xyz1234567890 | No / 86.0¢ | +1.27 | $1.09 | |
| 57m | Tigerofthehood | No / 86.0¢ | -1.47 | $1.26 | |
| 57m | 55kazuma | No / 86.0¢ | +1.47 | $1.26 | |
| 58m | Mubayy | No / 86.0¢ | +1.50 | $1.29 | |
| 58m | Tigerofthehood | No / 86.0¢ | -1.50 | $1.29 | |
| 1h | 0x882b45bbA3AFA6C269B4c226Aecd86D06e81a746-1772118897458 | Yes / 15.0¢ | +20.00 | $3 | |
| 1h | ishouldnot | No / 85.0¢ | +20.00 | $17 | |
| 1h | 0x882b45bbA3AFA6C269B4c226Aecd86D06e81a746-1772118897458 | Yes / 15.0¢ | +20.00 | $3 | |
| 1h | ishouldnot | No / 85.0¢ | +20.00 | $17 | |
| 1h | BadPill | No / 86.0¢ | +262.79 | $226 | |
| 1h | Tigerofthehood | No / 86.0¢ | -262.79 | $226 | |
| 1h | Tigerofthehood | No / 86.0¢ | -7.00 | $6.02 | |
| 1h | UranusProbe | No / 86.0¢ | +7.00 | $6.02 | |
| 1h | Tigerofthehood | No / 86.0¢ | -3,000.00 | $2.58K | |
| 1h | Eatpraylove | No / 86.0¢ | +3,000.00 | $2.58K | |
| 1h | Tigerofthehood | No / 86.0¢ | -9.30 | $8 | |
| 1h | 0x54328800f4b47C3f29bBD25dAFCc961087e90Dc4-1775659629164 | No / 86.0¢ | +9.30 | $8 | |
| 2h | weelcap | No / 86.0¢ | +34.88 | $30 |
1–25
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
No 96%$2.63Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 75%$26.8Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
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US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
No 91%$1.42Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
No 80%$1.86Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No 94%$17.5Mvolume