
Volume
$4K
Txns
389
Traders
108
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$18,328
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | PPMT | Yes / 9.0¢ | +6.25 | $0.56 | |
| 1d | 0xe34aEfc021eF7a84543e1fC929AE1c5512B0869f-1772582725996 | Yes / 9.0¢ | -6.25 | $0.56 | |
| 4d | DFK | No / 85.0¢ | +10.00 | $8.5 | |
| 4d | Gevsucks | No / 85.0¢ | -10.00 | $8.5 | |
| 5d | weixie12 | No / 91.0¢ | -27.74 | $25.2 | |
| 5d | DFK | No / 91.0¢ | +117.74 | $107 | |
| 5d | ScottyNooo | Yes / 9.0¢ | +50.00 | $4.5 | |
| 5d | AJSV | Yes / 9.0¢ | +40.00 | $3.6 | |
| 7d | 0x5ee4...399904 | Yes / 14.6¢ | +13.71 | $2 | |
| 7d | PPMT | Yes / 14.0¢ | -5.70 | $0.8 | |
| 7d | DFK | No / 85.0¢ | +8.01 | $6.81 | |
| 7d | easymuffin | Yes / 10.0¢ | -5.74 | $0.57 | |
| 7d | PPMT | Yes / 10.0¢ | +5.74 | $0.57 | |
| 7d | iumoren | No / 91.0¢ | +2.20 | $2 | |
| 7d | weixie12 | No / 91.0¢ | -2.20 | $2 | |
| 8d | DFK | No / 85.0¢ | +5.74 | $4.88 | |
| 8d | xqking | No / 85.0¢ | -5.74 | $4.88 | |
| 8d | easymuffin | Yes / 13.0¢ | +5.75 | $0.75 | |
| 8d | xqking | No / 87.0¢ | +5.75 | $5 | |
| 8d | 0x6714...76fad2 | No / 86.0¢ | -6.31 | $5.43 | |
| 8d | no1biao | No / 86.0¢ | -23.00 | $19.8 | |
| 8d | DFK | No / 86.0¢ | +29.31 | $25.2 | |
| 8d | 0x6714...76fad2 | No / 86.0¢ | -1.11 | $0.95 | |
| 8d | PPMT | Yes / 14.0¢ | -1.11 | $0.16 | |
| 11d | DFK | No / 85.0¢ | +35.00 | $29.8 |
1–25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 79%$27Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
No 96%$2.71Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
No 94%$1.66Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
No 85%$1.99Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
No 99%$24.8Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 59%$10.6Mvolume