
Volume
$57K
Txns
590
Traders
183
Fees
$0
Liquidity
$50,800
Ends
May 15, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1m | Cagoman | No / 48.0¢ | +4.17 | $2 | |
| 1m | 1nvoker1 | No / 48.0¢ | -4.17 | $2 | |
| 12m | 0x279C5de35108AFC30b99f09e595555B428E92b82-1777882786715 | No / 48.0¢ | +7.59 | $3.64 | |
| 12m | Chegildek | Yes / 52.0¢ | +7.59 | $3.95 | |
| 16m | maxkisel | Yes / 53.0¢ | +9.69 | $5.16 | |
| 16m | 0x279C5de35108AFC30b99f09e595555B428E92b82-1777882786715 | No / 47.0¢ | +9.69 | $4.55 | |
| 19m | OkieDokiePeon | No / 47.0¢ | -108.02 | $50.8 | |
| 19m | 1nvoker1 | No / 47.0¢ | +100.00 | $47 | |
| 19m | 0x279C5de35108AFC30b99f09e595555B428E92b82-1777882786715 | No / 47.0¢ | +8.02 | $3.77 | |
| 27m | adasol | No / 48.0¢ | -307.00 | $147 | |
| 27m | Cbarbhwux | Yes / 52.0¢ | -250.00 | $130 | |
| 27m | Chegildek | No / 48.0¢ | +16.00 | $7.68 | |
| 27m | PPMT | Yes / 52.0¢ | -41.00 | $21.3 | |
| 37m | PPMT | Yes / 52.0¢ | -16.00 | $8.32 | |
| 37m | 0x279C5de35108AFC30b99f09e595555B428E92b82-1777882786715 | No / 48.0¢ | -16.00 | $7.68 | |
| 47m | adasol | No / 50.0¢ | -50.00 | $25 | |
| 47m | 1nvoker1 | No / 50.0¢ | +50.00 | $25 | |
| 48m | adasol | No / 50.0¢ | -50.00 | $25 | |
| 48m | 1nvoker1 | No / 50.0¢ | +50.00 | $25 | |
| 52m | 1nvoker1 | No / 51.0¢ | -36.59 | $18.7 | |
| 52m | GreenYoshi | No / 51.0¢ | -63.41 | $32.3 | |
| 52m | 0x3e2 | No / 51.0¢ | +100.00 | $51 | |
| 52m | 0x3e2 | No / 51.0¢ | +100.00 | $51 | |
| 52m | 1nvoker1 | No / 51.0¢ | -100.00 | $51 | |
| 1h | 0x279C5de35108AFC30b99f09e595555B428E92b82-1777882786715 | No / 49.0¢ | +8.00 | $3.92 |
1–25
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
No 94%$2.59Mvolume
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
No 99%$24.6Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 83%$26.7Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
No 93%$1.39Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
No 78%$1.82Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
No 93%$17.5Mvolume