
Volume
$503K
Txns
1,790
Traders
362
Fees
$0
Ends
Nov 5, 2024
This market will resolve to "Harris" if according to FiveThirtyEight's final election forecast Kamala Harris has a greater chance than Donald Trump of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election . This market will resolve to "Trump" if according to FiveThirtyEight's final election forecast Donald Trump has a greater chance than Kamala Harris of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. If FiveThirtyEight's final election forecast is tied (there is no favorite), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/, specifically the headline numbers listed in the center of the page which display the odds of each candidate winning as a number out of 100 reported to the 1 digit mark (eg. "Trump wins 51 times out of 100")
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | drewbeefy | Trump / 0.2¢ | +500.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | Trump / 0.2¢ | -500.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | Shekel | Trump / 0.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | Eyebrows | Harris / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | Trump / 0.2¢ | -236.00 | $0.47 | |
| 1y | ACat-367 | Harris / 99.8¢ | -236.00 | $236 | |
| 1y | Shekel | Trump / 0.1¢ | -20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | kingfisher | Harris / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | Shekel | Trump / 0.1¢ | -1.00 | $0 | |
| 1y | Thoer | Harris / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | kingfisher | Harris / 99.9¢ | -200.00 | $200 | |
| 1y | Shekel | Trump / 0.1¢ | -200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | FellowHuman | Harris / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1y | Shekel | Trump / 0.1¢ | -10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | FellowHuman | Harris / 99.9¢ | -40.00 | $40 | |
| 1y | Shekel | Trump / 0.1¢ | -40.01 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | ptf | Harris / 99.9¢ | -40.01 | $40 | |
| 1y | Shekel | Trump / 0.1¢ | -40.00 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | Shekel | Trump / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | Sombie | Harris / 99.9¢ | -100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | Shekel | Trump / 0.1¢ | -300.00 | $0.3 | |
| 1y | Sombie | Harris / 99.9¢ | -300.00 | $300 | |
| 1y | Shekel | Trump / 0.4¢ | +400.00 | $1.6 | |
| 1y | Sombie | Harris / 99.6¢ | +400.00 | $398 | |
| 1y | Shekel | Trump / 0.3¢ | +1,000.00 | $3 |
1–25
Will Trump's approval rating be between 47.0% and 47.4% on March 14?
No 100%$23.2Kvolume
Will 538 call 44 states correctly?
No 100%$135volume
Will Trump's approval rating be between 48.5% and 48.9% on March 14?
No 100%$17Kvolume
Will 538 call 45 states correctly?
No 100%$54.6volume
Trump flips Kamala on 538 before election?
Yes 100%$288Kvolume
Will 538 call fewer than 43 states correctly?
No 100%$1Kvolume