
Volume
$105K
Txns
1,270
Traders
322
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 25, 2024
This market will resolve to "Harris" if Kamala Harris has a greater chance than Donald Trump of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election according to the Silver Bulletin's election forecast on October 25, 2024. This market will resolve to "Trump" if Donald Trump has a greater chance than Kamala Harris of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election according to the Silver Bulletin's election forecast on October 25, 2024. If the Silver Bulletin's election forecast for October 25 is tied (there is no favorite), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College. This market will resolve according to the datapoint for October 25 when the datapoint first becomes available. If no datapoint for October 25 is available by October 29, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous datapoint to October 25.
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | BlackSky123 | Trump / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | Trump / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | Trump / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | evgzink | Harris / 0.1¢ | +3,000.00 | $3 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | Trump / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | Trump / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | kekwkek | Harris / 0.1¢ | -1,492.10 | $1.49 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | Trump / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | Trump / 99.9¢ | +50.75 | $50.7 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | Trump / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | Iliilliill | Harris / 0.1¢ | -757.15 | $0.76 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | Trump / 99.7¢ | -752.26 | $750 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Trump / 99.7¢ | +752.26 | $750 | |
| 1y | kekwkek | Harris / 0.5¢ | +34.69 | $0.17 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | Trump / 99.5¢ | +34.69 | $34.5 | |
| 1y | Iliilliill | Harris / 0.7¢ | -42.86 | $0.3 | |
| 1y | razolet222 | Harris / 0.7¢ | +42.86 | $0.3 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | Trump / 99.9¢ | +250.00 | $250 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | Trump / 99.9¢ | +250.00 | $250 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | Trump / 99.9¢ | +250.00 | $250 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | Trump / 99.9¢ | +250.00 | $250 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | Trump / 99.9¢ | +250.00 | $250 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | Trump / 99.9¢ | +250.00 | $250 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | Trump / 99.9¢ | +250.00 | $250 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | Trump / 99.9¢ | +250.00 | $250 |
1–25
Will Trump's approval rating be between 47.0% and 47.4% on March 14?
No 100%$23.2Kvolume
Will Silver call 48 states correctly?
Yes 100%$3.87Kvolume
Trump positive favorability on February 1?
No 100%$58.5Kvolume
Will Trump's approval rating be between 48.5% and 48.9% on March 14?
No 100%$17Kvolume
Will Trump's approval rating be between 46.0% and 46.4% on March 21?
No 100%$5.91Kvolume
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 46.0% on March 21?
No 100%$7.01Kvolume