
Volume
$91K
Txns
3,485
Traders
441
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 16, 2026
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 10, 2026 through March 16, 2026, inclusive. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for March 16, 2026, however, will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +145.47 | $145 | |
| 1mo | MrMelonHead | Yes / 99.9¢ | -145.47 | $145 | |
| 1mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +131.63 | $131 | |
| 1mo | LosserDow | Yes / 99.9¢ | -131.63 | $131 | |
| 1mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +13.29 | $13.3 | |
| 1mo | Pilagi | Yes / 99.9¢ | -13.29 | $13.3 | |
| 1mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +19.53 | $19.5 | |
| 1mo | Krucik18 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -19.53 | $19.5 | |
| 1mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +28.60 | $28.6 | |
| 1mo | 0x854bcc6aB5e6dAf20d8e9801eef8Cb53E3b11a19-1772636912466 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -28.60 | $28.6 | |
| 1mo | TheBronxTale | Yes / 99.9¢ | -99.42 | $99.3 | |
| 1mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +99.42 | $99.3 | |
| 1mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +559.01 | $558 | |
| 1mo | 0x6224d0ca562475644c59eb387d122aff | Yes / 99.9¢ | -559.01 | $558 | |
| 1mo | zabaniya6666 | No / 0.1¢ | +150.00 | $0.15 | |
| 1mo | fiter | No / 0.1¢ | +493.21 | $0.49 | |
| 1mo | 0xe979C7bAA2817F9620cAE3Ed7054755bB10C0c8 | No / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1mo | AndyPerrol | Yes / 99.9¢ | +843.21 | $842 | |
| 1mo | epeh | Yes / 99.6¢ | -13.00 | $12.9 | |
| 1mo | DegenAgent | Yes / 99.6¢ | +13.00 | $12.9 | |
| 1mo | DegenAgent | Yes / 99.6¢ | +65.42 | $65.2 | |
| 1mo | PredictableNiche | Yes / 99.6¢ | -65.42 | $65.2 | |
| 1mo | PredictableNiche | No / 0.1¢ | -0.79 | $0 | |
| 1mo | fiter | No / 0.1¢ | +0.79 | $0 | |
| 1mo | DegenAgent | Yes / 99.6¢ | +3.72 | $3.71 |
1–25
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
No 88%$148Kvolume
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
No 56%$139Kvolume
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
No 95%$243Kvolume
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
No 93%$84.2Kvolume
Will there be between 50 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
No 100%$120Kvolume
Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 23-29?
No 100%$4.9Kvolume