Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
ActiveVolume
$153K
Txns
2,809
Traders
334
Fees
$2
Liquidity
$3,581
Ends
Volume
$153K
Txns
2,809
Traders
334
Fees
$2
Liquidity
$3,581
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15h | ImSweating | Yes / 6.1¢ | +28.40 | $1.73 | |
| 15h | PPMT | Yes / 5.9¢ | -28.40 | $1.67 | |
| 1d | PPMT | Yes / 6.2¢ | +8.20 | $0.51 | |
| 1d | nc3iceibvtvetvbt | Yes / 6.0¢ | -8.20 | $0.49 | |
| 1d | Gansfreid | No / 93.5¢ | -3.62 | $3.38 | |
| 1d | PPMT | Yes / 6.3¢ | -3.62 | $0.23 | |
| 1d | PPMT | Yes / 6.2¢ | +23.00 | $1.43 | |
| 1d | godblessme2026 | No / 93.8¢ | +23.00 | $21.6 | |
| 2d | l1nkus | Yes / 6.3¢ | +3.63 | $0.23 | |
| 2d | Gansfreid | No / 93.7¢ | +3.63 | $3.41 | |
| 2d | planktonXD | Yes / 4.1¢ | -96.08 | $3.94 | |
| 2d | PPMT | Yes / 4.1¢ | -42.60 | $1.75 | |
| 2d | IronE | Yes / 4.1¢ | +189.68 | $8.13 | |
| 2d | tonysw2 | No / 95.8¢ | +51.00 | $48.9 | |
| 3d | 0x00930d902Eb9A6b9C8495bF8D289dc347042BE88-1761750683517 | Yes / 3.6¢ | -58.82 | $2.11 | |
| 3d | PPMT | Yes / 3.8¢ | +14.90 | $0.57 | |
| 3d | planktonXD | Yes / 3.7¢ | +43.92 | $1.63 | |
| 4d | nc3iceibvtvetvbt | Yes / 3.7¢ | +18.92 | $0.7 | |
| 4d | b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes / 3.8¢ | +20.00 | $0.76 | |
| 4d | PPMT | Yes / 3.8¢ | +30.00 | $1.14 | |
| 4d | xMUSK | Yes / 3.6¢ | -121.08 | $4.36 | |
| 4d | planktonXD | Yes / 3.7¢ | +52.16 | $1.93 | |
| 4d | 0x03141505C79F7D82eA4d426105Cb228B4eD92F6d-1766507216051 | Yes / 8.9¢ | +11.24 | $1.04 | |
| 4d | Iris01 | No / 91.1¢ | +11.24 | $10.2 | |
| 4d | Iris01 | No / 91.1¢ | +11.24 | $10.2 |
1–25
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
Yes 98%$443Kvolume
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
No 100%$602Kvolume
New pandemic in 2026?
No 88%$443Kvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
No 59%$244Kvolume
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Yes 98%$288Kvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T
No 87%$603Kvolume